AFC Champions League Two
· Group Stage - 2
October 14, 2026 18:00
Mohammad Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Malcom
55'
(pen.)
Nermin Mujkić
90'+5
66'
(ast. Arzuvguly Sapargulyev)
Abdy Byashimov
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arkadag a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Al-Jazira 31%). The final result was Al-Jazira 2–1 Arkadag.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
15
9
Shots on target
2
2.84
Actual xG
0.97
1
Saves
0
73%
Possession
27%
8
Corners
2
6
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Ravil Tagir
/ Ruben Amaral
20'
Ali Al-Memari
/ Vinicius Mello
45'
⚽Malcom
(pen.)
55'
62'
Dayanch Meredov
/
Altymurad Annadurdyev
62'
Sanazar Tirkishov
/
Ýazgylyç Gurbanov
66'
ast. Arzuvguly Sapargulyev ·
Abdy Byashimov⚽
Kristjan Asllani
/ Mamadou Coulibaly
67'
Anthony Dennis
/ Abdallah Ramadan
68'
72'
Didar durdyyev
/
Rahman Orazmyrat ogly Myratberdiýew
Mohammed Rabii
/ Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni
74'
80'
Berdimurad Rezhebov
/
Ybraýym Mämmedow
80'
Yhlas Saparmammedov
/
Arzuvguly Sapargulyev
⚽Nermin Mujkić
90'+5
Nermin Mujkić
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
31.47%
Al-Jazira ←
32.88%
X
35.64%
Arkadag
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Jazira)
31.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.63
2.84
+2.21
1.24
0.97
-0.27
Al-Jazira dominated by xG (2.84 vs 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. Destanoğlu
G
E. Destanoğlu
G
39
N. Mujkić
1 ⚽
D
N. Mujkić
1 ⚽
D
28
R. Tagir
20'
D
R. Tagir
20'
D
5
Khalifa Al Hammadi
D
Khalifa Al Hammadi
D
15
M. Rabii
74'
D
M. Rabii
74'
D
77
Milson
M
Milson
M
23
K. Asllani
67'
M
K. Asllani
67'
M
30
A. Dennis
68'
M
A. Dennis
68'
M
80
Bruno
M
Bruno
M
81
Ali Mohamed Saeed Mohamed Abdulla Almemari
45'
F
Ali Mohamed Saeed Mohamed Abdulla Almemari
45'
F
10
Malcom
1 ⚽
F
Malcom
1 ⚽
F
Bench
7
Abdalla Ramadan
22'
M
Abdalla Ramadan
22'
M
55
Ali Khaseif
G
Ali Khaseif
G
2
Igor
D
Igor
D
29
J. de los Santos
F
J. de los Santos
F
16
Marcus Meloni
16'
D
Marcus Meloni
16'
D
8
M. Coulibaly
23'
M
M. Coulibaly
23'
M
70
M. Jatta
M
M. Jatta
M
6
Mohammed Al Attas
D
Mohammed Al Attas
D
22
N. Vukić
M
N. Vukić
M
17
Rúben Alexandre Ramos Amaral
70'
D
Rúben Alexandre Ramos Amaral
70'
D
74
S. Malkoçoğlu
M
S. Malkoçoğlu
M
99
Vinicius Mello
45'
F
Vinicius Mello
45'
F
40
72'
G
20
A. Sapargulyyev
1 👟
80'
D
A. Sapargulyyev
1 👟
80'
D
5
A. Bashimov
1 ⚽
D
A. Bashimov
1 ⚽
D
2
72'
D
4
M. Saparow
D
M. Saparow
D
12
Y. Mammedov
80'
D
Y. Mammedov
80'
D
9
72'
M
88
A. Ataýew
M
A. Ataýew
M
10
72'
M
27
Y. Gurbanov
62'
M
Y. Gurbanov
62'
M
7
72'
F
Bench
23
B. Rejebov
10'
D
B. Rejebov
10'
D
11
D. Durdyýew
18'
F
D. Durdyýew
18'
F
71
D. Meredov
28'
F
D. Meredov
28'
F
70
M. Diniyev
F
M. Diniyev
F
1
R. Ahallyyev
G
R. Ahallyyev
G
14
S. Tirkishov
28'
F
S. Tirkishov
28'
F
8
Y. Saparmämmedov
10'
M
Y. Saparmämmedov
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Malcom
F · Al-Jazira
7.68
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 53 pass
N. Mujkić
D · Al-Jazira
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 77 pass
A. Bashimov
D · Arkadag
7.27
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
K. Asllani
M · Al-Jazira
7.10
3 shots
· 76 pass
R. Tagir
D · Al-Jazira
7.00
1 shots
· 20 pass
M. Coulibaly
M · Al-Jazira
6.98
· 26 pass
Al-Jazira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Destanoğlu | G | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Mujkić | D | 90 | 7.62 | 1 | — | 2 | 77 | 72% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Tagir | D | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Khalifa Al Hammadi | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rabii | D | 74 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Milson | M | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Asllani | M | 67 | 7.10 | — | — | 3 | 76 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dennis | M | 68 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno | M | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Mohamed Saeed Mohamed Abdulla Almemari | F | 45 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Malcom | F | 90 | 7.68 | 1 | — | 5 | 53 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| Abdalla Ramadan | M | 22 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcus Meloni | D | 16 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Coulibaly | M | 23 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Rúben Alexandre Ramos Amaral | D | 70 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius Mello | F | 45 | 6.83 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Arkadag — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 72 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| A. Sapargulyyev | D | 80 | 6.82 | — | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bashimov | D | 90 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 72 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| M. Saparow | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Mammedov | D | 80 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 72 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| A. Ataýew | M | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| M | 72 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| Y. Gurbanov | M | 62 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 72 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| B. Rejebov | D | 10 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Durdyýew | F | 18 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Meredov | F | 28 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tirkishov | F | 28 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Saparmämmedov | M | 10 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Jazira vs Arkadag?
The final score was Al-Jazira 2–1 Arkadag.
What did the model predict before Al-Jazira vs Arkadag?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Al-Jazira win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Arkadag win.