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AL Masry - Al Ahly

Egyptian Premier League May 15, 2026 21:00
AL Masry
#5 · 40 pts
vs
Al Ahly
#3 · 50 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.2%
Win
AL Masry
27.9%
Draw
43.9%
Win
Al Ahly
1.18
Expected xG
1.51

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Ahly a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AL Masry. Expected goals are 1.2 for AL Masry and 1.5 for Al Ahly (total 2.7), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, AL Masry have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al Ahly.

Score Matrix
↕ AL Masry Al Ahly →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8% 10.3% 7.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —
Recent form
AL Masry AL Masry
W Ceramica Cleopatra 0–1
W Smouha SC 0–1
D Enppi 2–2
D Pyramids FC 1–1
L Zamalek SC 1–4
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
Al Ahly Al Ahly
W Enppi 3–0
W Zamalek SC 0–3
L Pyramids FC 3–0
W Smouha SC 2–1
D Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 29%
Playing profile
AL Masry AL Masry
Attack
32
Defence
66
Form
50
Al Ahly Al Ahly
Attack
42
Defence
70
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
AL Masry
1
Draw
0
Al Ahly
D 2 Nov 2025 Egyptian Premier League 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Zamalek SC Zamalek SC 5 53
2 Pyramids FC Pyramids FC 5 51
3 Al Ahly Al Ahly 5 50
4 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 5 44
5 AL Masry AL Masry 5 40
6 Enppi Enppi 6 36
7 Smouha SC Smouha SC 5 31
8 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 10 48
9 Masr Masr 10 46
10 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 10 43
11 Petrojet Petrojet 10 41
12 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 10 39
13 Future FC Future FC 10 35
14 El Geish El Geish 10 34
15 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 10 33
16 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 10 32
17 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 10 31
18 Kahraba Ismailia Kahraba Ismailia 10 30
19 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 10 23
20 Pharco Pharco 10 22
21 Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 10 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AL Masry vs Al Ahly?
The model gives AL Masry a 28% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 43% for an Al Ahly win.
How many goals are expected in AL Masry vs Al Ahly?
Expected goals: AL Masry 1.2, Al Ahly 1.5 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in AL Masry vs Al Ahly?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.