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Al Merreikh - Horoya

CAF Champions League October 24, 2026 17:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.91%
Win
Al Merreikh
33.39%
Draw
32.7%
Win
Horoya
0.88
Expected xG
0.73

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.9%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Merreikh a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Horoya. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Merreikh and 0.7 for Horoya (total 1.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.9% probability.

Season Stats

Al Merreikh
2W 1D 1L
Horoya
2W 1D 3L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.0
0.2
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
75%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in CAF Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Al Merreikh
1W 1D 0L · at home
Horoya
0W 0D 3L · away
0.5
gls/g
0.0
0.0
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
0%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al Merreikh Horoya →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.0% 14.6% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% —
1 17.6% 12.8% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 7.8% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

W Power Dynamos 0–1
W Power Dynamos 1–0
D Saint Eloi Lupopo 0–0
L Saint Eloi Lupopo 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
W JS Saoura 3–1
L JS Saoura 1–0
L FAR Rabat 3–0
D FAR Rabat 1–1
W Al Hilal 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Al Merreikh Al Merreikh
Attack
23
Defence
99
Form
72
Horoya Horoya
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
The model gives Al Merreikh a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Horoya win.
How many goals are expected in Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
Expected goals: Al Merreikh 0.9, Horoya 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.