Al Merreikh - Horoya
CAF Champions League
October 24, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.91%
Win
Al Merreikh
33.39%
Draw
32.7%
Win
Horoya
0.88
0.73
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.9%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
66%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Merreikh a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Horoya. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Merreikh and 0.7 for Horoya (total 1.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.9% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
1L
2W
1D
3L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.0
0.2
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
75%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in CAF Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
3L
· away
0.5
gls/g
0.0
0.0
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
0%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Al Merreikh
Horoya →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.0% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 17.6% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Al Merreikh
Attack
23
Defence
99
Form
72
Horoya
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
The model gives Al Merreikh a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Horoya win.
How many goals are expected in Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
Expected goals: Al Merreikh 0.9, Horoya 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.