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Lazaro 45' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Shabab a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Al Najma 23%). The final result was Al Najma 1–0 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, Al Najma have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al Shabab.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.33
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
8
Corners
9
24
Tackles
19
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Al Tulayhi
21'
23'
W. Hoedt
A. Al Harabi
30'
M. Al Fatil
45'+4
Lazaro (pen.)
45'
46'
A. Matuq / A. Azaizeh
N. Al Hawsawi
49'
52'
H. Camara
59'
M. Al Rajeh / A. Makki
71'
U. Hernandez / B. Al Sayyali
R. Al Tulayhi / B. Boutobba
77'
83'
K. A. Al Sibyani H. / A. Al Bulayhi
N. Al Hawsawi / Vitao
84'
N. Al Haleel
88'
Lazaro
90'+6
Lazaro / M. Mile
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
23.51%
Al ←
21.79%
X
54.7%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Al Najma) 23.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
1.04
1.33
+0.29
Al
1.80
0.86
-0.94
Al Najma dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 0
2 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 0 0
3 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 0 0
4 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0 0
5 Abha Abha 0 0
6 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 0
7 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 0 0
8 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 0 0
9 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 0 0
10 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 0 0
11 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0 0
12 Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 0 0
13 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 0 0
14 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0 0
15 NEOM NEOM 0 0
16 Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 0 0
17 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 0 0
18 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0 0
Lineups
Al Najma Al Najma 5-4-1
87 Waled Al Enazi Waled Al Enazi G 7.30
50 Nawaf Al-Hawsawi Nawaf Al-Hawsawi 84' D 6.50
6 Khalid Al-Shammari Khalid Al-Shammari D 6.90
33 Mohammed Al Fatil Mohammed Al Fatil D 6.90
4 Nasser Al Haleel Nasser Al Haleel D 6.90
66 Sultan Alessa Sultan Alessa D 7.20
7 Lázaro Lázaro 1 ⚽ M 7.20
43 David Tijanič David Tijanič M 7.00
18 Abdulaziz Al Harabi Abdulaziz Al Harabi M 6.90
23 Rakan Al-Tulayhi Rakan Al-Tulayhi 77' M 7.20
70 Felippe Cardoso Felippe Cardoso F 6.90
Bench
8 Abdulelah Alshamary Abdulelah Alshamary M
24 Abdullah Al-Hawsawi Abdullah Al-Hawsawi D
14 Ali Jasim Ali Jasim F
98 Bilal Boutobba Bilal Boutobba 18' F 6.20
77 Hisham Al-Dubais Hisham Al-Dubais F
22 Khalid Al Muqiatyb Khalid Al Muqiatyb G
11 Majed Dawran Majed Dawran M
17 Mohammed Mansour Mile Mohammed Mansour Mile F
2 Vitor Vargas Vitor Vargas 11' D 6.30
Al Shabab Al Shabab 4-1-4-1
43 Marcelo Grohe Marcelo Grohe G 7.20
31 Saad Yaslam Balobaid Saad Yaslam Balobaid D 6.20
3 Ali Al-Bulaihi Ali Al-Bulaihi 83' D 6.70
4 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt D 7.30
5 Ali Makki Ali Makki 59' D 7.00
8 Josh Brownhill Josh Brownhill M 6.60
22 Hammam Al-Hammami Hammam Al-Hammami M 6.90
29 Yacine Adli Yacine Adli M 6.90
20 Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali 71' M 6.90
99 Ali Al Azaizeh Ali Al Azaizeh 45' M 6.50
70 Haroune Camara Haroune Camara F 6.70
Bench
23 Abdulaziz Rahma Abdulaziz Rahma G
37 Abdullah Matuq Abdullah Matuq 50' F 6.30
16 Hussain Al-Sebyani Hussain Al-Sebyani 12' D 6.70
33 Mohammed Al-Mahasneh Mohammed Al-Mahasneh G
2 Mohammed Al Shwirekh Mohammed Al Shwirekh D
17 Mohammed Al-Thani Mohammed Al-Thani D
94 Mubarak Al-Rajeh Mubarak Al-Rajeh 36' D 6.30
34 Sultan Al Anzi Sultan Al Anzi D
7 Unai Hernández Unai Hernández 24' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
W. Hoedt
W. Hoedt
D · Al
7.30
1 shots · 71 pass
Waled Al Enazi
Waled Al Enazi
G · Al
7.30
· 21 pass
Sultan Alessa
Sultan Alessa
D · Al
7.20
· 24 pass
Lázaro
Lázaro
M · Al
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
Rakan Al-Tulayhi
Rakan Al-Tulayhi
M · Al
7.20
· 29 pass
Marcelo Grohe
Marcelo Grohe
G · Al
7.20
· 12 pass
Al Najma Al Najma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Waled Al Enazi G 95 7.30 21 10%
Nawaf Al-Hawsawi D 84 6.50 16 9% 4 1
Khalid Al-Shammari D 95 6.90 1 18 16%
Mohammed Al Fatil D 95 6.90 1 14 11% 1
Nasser Al Haleel D 95 6.90 19 15% 4 1
Sultan Alessa D 95 7.20 24 18% 5
Lázaro M 95 7.20 1 3 28 26%
David Tijanič M 95 7.00 1 22 20% 3
Abdulaziz Al Harabi M 95 6.90 1 26 22% 5 1
Rakan Al-Tulayhi M 77 7.20 29 23% 2 1
Felippe Cardoso F 95 6.90 1 17 14% 1
Bilal Boutobba F 18 6.20 3 2%
Vitor Vargas D 11 6.30 1 1%
Al Shabab Al Shabab — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Grohe G 95 7.20 12 12%
Saad Yaslam Balobaid D 95 6.20 40 34% 3
Ali Al-Bulaihi D 83 6.70 1 32 31% 1
W. Hoedt D 95 7.30 1 71 62% 1 1
Ali Makki D 59 7.00 28 27% 3
Josh Brownhill M 95 6.60 1 67 61%
Hammam Al-Hammami M 95 6.90 1 30 24% 5
Yacine Adli M 95 6.90 1 55 41%
Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali M 71 6.90 42 38% 2
Ali Al Azaizeh M 45 6.50 13 13% 1
Haroune Camara F 95 6.70 1 7 5% 2 1
Abdullah Matuq F 50 6.30 14 10% 1
Hussain Al-Sebyani D 12 6.70 3 3%
Mubarak Al-Rajeh D 36 6.30 11 8%
Unai Hernández M 24 6.30 10 9%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
The final score was Al Najma 1–0 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Al Najma win, 21% to a draw, and 54% to an Al Shabab win.