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Lazaro 45' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Shabab a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Al Najma 23%). The final result was Al Najma 1–0 Al Shabab. In 1 previous meetings, Al Najma have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al Shabab.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.33
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
8
Corners
9
24
Tackles
19
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Al Tulayhi
21'
23'
W. Hoedt
A. Al Harabi
30'
M. Al Fatil
45'+4
Lazaro (pen.)
45'
46'
A. Matuq / A. Azaizeh
N. Al Hawsawi
49'
52'
H. Camara
59'
M. Al Rajeh / A. Makki
71'
U. Hernandez / B. Al Sayyali
R. Al Tulayhi / B. Boutobba
77'
83'
K. A. Al Sibyani H. / A. Al Bulayhi
N. Al Hawsawi / Vitao
84'
N. Al Haleel
88'
Lazaro
90'+6
Lazaro / M. Mile
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
23.51%
Al ←
21.79%
X
54.7%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Al Najma) 23.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
1.04
1.33
+0.29
Al
1.80
0.86
-0.94
Al Najma dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 7 17
2 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 7 16
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6 15
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 6 15
5 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 7 12
6 NEOM NEOM 6 12
7 Al Kholood Al Kholood 6 12
8 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 7 11
9 Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 6 10
10 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 7 8
11 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 6 5
12 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 6 5
13 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 6 4
14 Al Taawon Al Taawon 6 3
15 Al Shabab Al Shabab 6 3
16 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 6 3
17 Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 7 3
18 Abha Abha 6 1
Lineups
Al Najma Al Najma 5-4-1
87 Waleed Al Anzi Waleed Al Anzi G 7.30
50 Nawaf Al-Hawsawi Nawaf Al-Hawsawi 84' D 6.50
6 Khalid Al-Shammari Khalid Al-Shammari D 6.90
33 Mohammed Al Fatil Mohammed Al Fatil D 6.90
4 Nasser Al Haleel Nasser Al Haleel D 6.90
66 Sultan Alessa Sultan Alessa D 7.20
7 Lázaro Lázaro 1 ⚽ M 7.20
43 David Tijanič David Tijanič M 7.00
18 Abdulaziz Al Harabi Abdulaziz Al Harabi M 6.90
23 Rakan Al Tulayhi Rakan Al Tulayhi 77' M 7.20
70 Felippe Cardoso Felippe Cardoso F 6.90
Bench
24 Abdulbasit Hawsawi Abdulbasit Hawsawi D
8 Abdulelah Alshamary Abdulelah Alshamary M
14 Ali Jasim Ali Jasim F
98 Bilal Boutobba Bilal Boutobba 18' F 6.20
77 Hisham Al Dubais Hisham Al Dubais F
22 Khalid Al Muqiatyb Khalid Al Muqiatyb G
11 Majed Dawran Majed Dawran M
17 Mohammed Mansour Mile Mohammed Mansour Mile F
2 Vitor Vargas Vitor Vargas 11' D 6.30
Al Shabab Al Shabab 4-1-4-1
43 Marcelo Grohe Marcelo Grohe G 7.20
31 Saad Yaslam Saad Yaslam D 6.20
3 Ali Al-Bulaihi Ali Al-Bulaihi 83' D 6.70
4 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt D 7.30
5 Ali Makki Ali Makki 59' D 7.00
8 J. Brownhill J. Brownhill M 6.60
22 Hammam Al-Hammami Hammam Al-Hammami M 6.90
29 Y. Adli Y. Adli M 6.90
20 Basil Al Sayyali Basil Al Sayyali 71' M 6.90
99 Ali Al Azaizeh Ali Al Azaizeh 45' M 6.50
70 Haroune Camara Haroune Camara F 6.70
Bench
23 Abdulaziz Al-Awairdhi Abdulaziz Al-Awairdhi G
37 Abdullah Matuq Abdullah Matuq 50' F 6.30
16 Hussain Al Sibyani Hussain Al Sibyani 12' D 6.70
33 Mohammed Al-Mahasneh Mohammed Al-Mahasneh G
2 Mohammed Al Shwirekh Mohammed Al Shwirekh D
17 Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani D
94 Mubarak Al Rajeh Mubarak Al Rajeh 36' D 6.30
34 Sultan Al Anzi Sultan Al Anzi D
7 Unai Hernández Unai Hernández 24' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
W. Hoedt
W. Hoedt
D · Al
7.30
1 shots · 71 pass
Waleed Al Anzi
Waleed Al Anzi
G · Al
7.30
· 21 pass
Sultan Alessa
Sultan Alessa
D · Al
7.20
· 24 pass
Lázaro
Lázaro
M · Al
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
Rakan Al Tulayhi
Rakan Al Tulayhi
M · Al
7.20
· 29 pass
Marcelo Grohe
Marcelo Grohe
G · Al
7.20
· 12 pass
Al Najma Al Najma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Waleed Al Anzi G 95 7.30 21 10%
Nawaf Al-Hawsawi D 84 6.50 16 9% 4 1
Khalid Al-Shammari D 95 6.90 1 18 16%
Mohammed Al Fatil D 95 6.90 1 14 11% 1
Nasser Al Haleel D 95 6.90 19 15% 4 1
Sultan Alessa D 95 7.20 24 18% 5
Lázaro M 95 7.20 1 3 28 26%
David Tijanič M 95 7.00 1 22 20% 3
Abdulaziz Al Harabi M 95 6.90 1 26 22% 5 1
Rakan Al Tulayhi M 77 7.20 29 23% 2 1
Felippe Cardoso F 95 6.90 1 17 14% 1
Bilal Boutobba F 18 6.20 3 2%
Vitor Vargas D 11 6.30 1 1%
Al Shabab Al Shabab — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Grohe G 95 7.20 12 12%
Saad Yaslam D 95 6.20 40 34% 3
Ali Al-Bulaihi D 83 6.70 1 32 31% 1
W. Hoedt D 95 7.30 1 71 62% 1 1
Ali Makki D 59 7.00 28 27% 3
J. Brownhill M 95 6.60 1 67 61%
Hammam Al-Hammami M 95 6.90 1 30 24% 5
Y. Adli M 95 6.90 1 55 41%
Basil Al Sayyali M 71 6.90 42 38% 2
Ali Al Azaizeh M 45 6.50 13 13% 1
Haroune Camara F 95 6.70 1 7 5% 2 1
Abdullah Matuq F 50 6.30 14 10% 1
Hussain Al Sibyani D 12 6.70 3 3%
Mubarak Al Rajeh D 36 6.30 11 8%
Unai Hernández M 24 6.30 10 9%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
The final score was Al Najma 1–0 Al Shabab.
What did the model predict before Al Najma vs Al Shabab?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Al Najma win, 21% to a draw, and 54% to an Al Shabab win.