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Al-Nassr - Al Kholood

Saudi Pro League October 29, 2026 19:00 Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh
Al-Nassr
#2 · 25 pts
vs
Al Kholood
#9 · 12 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 32.4°C 💨 1 km/h · Riyadh
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.88%
Win
Al-Nassr
20.9%
Draw
19.22%
Win
Al Kholood
3.05
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.97%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 21%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 40%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Nassr a 59% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Al Kholood. Expected goals are 3.1 for Al-Nassr and 1.3 for Al Kholood (total 4.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.97% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Nassr have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Kholood.

Season Stats

Al-Nassr
11W 2D 2L
Al Kholood
3W 7D 5L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.7
5.9
Shots OT
4.1
7.4
Corners
4.8
54%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
73%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Saudi Pro League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Al-Nassr
9W 1D 0L · at home
Al Kholood
1W 4D 5L · away
2.4
gls/g
0.9
0.6
Conceded
2.1
90%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al-Nassr Al Kholood →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% —
1 3.9% 5.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.6% 6.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
W Al-Faisaly FC 1–3
W NEOM 1–0
W Al Diriyah 3–0
D Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1
W Abha 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Al Kholood Al Kholood
L Al-Ettifaq 0–3
L Al-Faisaly FC 3–2
L Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–5
L Al Riyadh 2–0
W Al Shabab 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
Attack
53
Defence
77
Form
72
Al Kholood Al Kholood
Attack
43
Defence
49
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Al-Nassr
0
Draw
0
Al Kholood
30 Jan 2026 Saudi Pro League 3–0
14 Sep 2025 Saudi Pro League 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 10 27
2 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 10 25
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 11 25
4 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 10 23
5 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 10 21
6 NEOM NEOM 11 19
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 11 18
8 Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 11 15
9 Al Kholood Al Kholood 10 12
10 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 11 12
11 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 10 12
12 Al Shabab Al Shabab 10 11
13 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 11 10
14 Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 11 10
15 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 11 8
16 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 11 6
17 Al Taawon Al Taawon 11 4
18 Abha Abha 10 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?
The model gives Al-Nassr a 59% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 19% for an Al Kholood win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?
Expected goals: Al-Nassr 3.1, Al Kholood 1.3 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.97%.