Al-Nassr - Al Sadd
AFC Champions League
November 24, 2026 19:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.64%
Win
Al-Nassr
23.03%
Draw
27.34%
Win
Al Sadd
2.27
1.52
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.94%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
23%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
50%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
69%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Nassr a 49% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Al Sadd. Expected goals are 2.3 for Al-Nassr and 1.5 for Al Sadd (total 3.8), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.94% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
2W
5D
6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
2.5
Conceded
2.2
3.0
Shots OT
5.8
7.5
Corners
6.8
59%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
62%
50%
BTTS
77%
0%
Clean Sht
8%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
72%
O 3.5
86%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
3D
3L
· away
3.0
gls/g
1.3
1.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
14%
100%
Win or Draw
57%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
57%
100%
O 3.5
43%
100%
BTTS
71%
0%
Clean Sht
14%
0%
Failed to Score
14%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Al-Nassr
Al Sadd →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Al-Nassr
Attack
53
Defence
68
Form
66
Al Sadd
Attack
55
Defence
52
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
West Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Ain
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Esteghlal FC
|
3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
|
3 | 6 |
| 6 |
Al Shamal
|
3 | 5 |
| 7 |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
|
3 | 5 |
| 8 |
Al-Ittihad FC
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Al-Nassr
|
2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Neftchi
|
3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Pakhtakor
|
3 | 2 |
| 13 |
Tractor Sazi
|
3 | 1 |
| 14 |
Al Sadd
|
3 | 1 |
| 15 |
Al-Gharafa
|
3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Al-Wasl FC
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · West Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #9 | #14 |
| → Al-Nassr | #6 | #14 |
| → Draw | #9 | #13 |
| → Al Sadd | #10 | #9 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Sadd?
The model gives Al-Nassr a 49% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an Al Sadd win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Nassr vs Al Sadd?
Expected goals: Al-Nassr 2.3, Al Sadd 1.5 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Nassr vs Al Sadd?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.94%.