Skip to main content
← AFC Champions League

Al-Nassr - Al-Wasl FC

AFC Champions League October 26, 2026 19:15 Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh
Al-Nassr
#7 · 6 pts
vs
Al-Wasl FC
#11 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.81%
Win
Al-Nassr
28.54%
Draw
26.65%
Win
Al-Wasl FC
2.17
Expected xG
0.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.78%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 29%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 55%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Nassr a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Al-Wasl FC. Expected goals are 2.2 for Al-Nassr and 0.8 for Al-Wasl FC (total 2.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Nassr have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al-Wasl FC.

Season Stats

Al-Nassr
1W 0D 1L
Al-Wasl FC
0W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
2.5
Conceded
2.5
3.0
Shots OT
3.0
7.5
Corners
7.0
59%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Al-Nassr Al-Wasl FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 11.7% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% —
2 12.6% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 5.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
W Pakhtakor 2–6
W Neftchi 3–1
L Al Ain 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC
W Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4–3
L Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–3
L Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
Attack
57
Defence
65
Form
67
Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC
Attack
47
Defence
46
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Al-Nassr
0
Draw
0
Al-Wasl FC
19 Apr 2026 AFC Champions League Two 4–0

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 4 12
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4 9
3 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 4 9
4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 4 9
5 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 4 8
6 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 4 8
7 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 3 6
8 Al Shamal Al Shamal 4 5
9 Neftchi Neftchi 4 4
10 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 4 4
11 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 3 3
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4 3
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 4 2
14 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 4 2
15 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4 2
16 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 4 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al-Nassr Al-Wasl FC
Current #7 #11
→ Al-Nassr #5 #11
→ Draw #7 #10
→ Al-Wasl FC #7 #8

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Wasl FC?
The model gives Al-Nassr a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 26% for an Al-Wasl FC win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Nassr vs Al-Wasl FC?
Expected goals: Al-Nassr 2.2, Al-Wasl FC 0.8 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Nassr vs Al-Wasl FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.78%.