Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 34
May 21, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Nassr
S. Mane
(ast. Joao Felix)
34'
K. Coman
(ast. A. Al Khaibari)
52'
C. Ronaldo
63'
C. Ronaldo
81'
(pen.)
58'
M. Sylla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 75% win probability (draw 14%, Damac 10%). The final result was Al-Nassr 4–1 Damac. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Nassr have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Damac.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
1
9
Shots on target
1
1.02
Actual xG
0.88
0
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
25'
S. Al Hawsawi
26'
D. Al Anazi
⚽S. Mane
· ast. Joao Felix
34'
⚽K. Coman
· ast. A. Al Khaibari
52'
C. Ronaldo
54'
58'
(pen.)
M. Sylla⚽
S. Mane
60'
61'
Y. Meite
/
Arielson
61'
David Kaiki
/
D. Al Anazi
61'
Y. Naji
/
H. Rabea
62'
J. Harkass
⚽C. Ronaldo
63'
71'
T. Abdullah
⚽C. Ronaldo
81'
81'
A. R. Al Khaibre
/
S. Al Hawsawi
A. Yahya
/ Angelo
85'
85'
K. Al Samiri
/
J. Okita
S. Mane
/ A. Ghareeb
87'
C. Ronaldo
/ A. Al Hamdan
87'
N. Boushal
/ N. Al Sharari
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
75.67%
Al-Nassr ←
14.04%
X
10.28%
Damac
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr)
75.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.49
1.02
-1.47
0.81
0.88
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.02 – 0.88).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
Bento
G
Bento
G
26
Iñigo Martínez
D
Iñigo Martínez
D
5
Abdulelah Al-Amri
D
Abdulelah Al-Amri
D
3
M. Simakan
D
M. Simakan
D
12
Nawaf Boushal
D
Nawaf Boushal
D
10
S. Mané
1 ⚽
87'
M
S. Mané
1 ⚽
87'
M
23
Ayman Yahya
85'
M
Ayman Yahya
85'
M
17
Abdullah Al Khaibari
1 👟
M
Abdullah Al Khaibari
1 👟
M
21
K. Coman
1 ⚽
M
K. Coman
1 ⚽
M
79
João Félix
1 👟
F
João Félix
1 👟
F
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
2 ⚽
87'
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
2 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
9
Abdullah Al Hamdan
6'
F
Abdullah Al Hamdan
6'
F
29
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
6'
F
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
6'
F
20
Ângelo
8'
F
Ângelo
8'
F
70
Awad Aman
D
Awad Aman
D
16
Mohammed Marran
F
Mohammed Marran
F
4
Nader Al Sharari
1'
D
Nader Al Sharari
1'
D
1
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
G
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
G
96
Saad Al Nasser
D
Saad Al Nasser
D
83
Salem Alnajdi
D
Salem Alnajdi
D
1
Kewin
G
Kewin
G
13
Abdulrahman Al-Obaid
D
Abdulrahman Al-Obaid
D
5
Hassan Rubayyi
61'
D
Hassan Rubayyi
61'
D
3
A. Bedrane
D
A. Bedrane
D
15
J. Harkass
D
J. Harkass
D
12
Alhwsawi Sanousi Mohammed
81'
D
Alhwsawi Sanousi Mohammed
81'
D
20
Dhari Al-Enezi
61'
M
Dhari Al-Enezi
61'
M
6
Tareq Abdullah A Mohammed
M
Tareq Abdullah A Mohammed
M
2
Morlaye Sylla
1 ⚽
M
Morlaye Sylla
1 ⚽
M
14
Jonathan Okita
85'
M
Jonathan Okita
85'
M
99
Arielson
61'
F
Arielson
61'
F
Bench
22
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
12'
D
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
12'
D
77
David Kaiki
32'
F
David Kaiki
32'
F
88
Khaled Al-Semeiry
8'
M
Khaled Al-Semeiry
8'
M
72
Meshal Al Shahrani
G
Meshal Al Shahrani
G
30
Naser Al Ghamdi
G
Naser Al Ghamdi
G
18
Nawaf Al Sadi
M
Nawaf Al Sadi
M
4
Noor Al-Rashidi
D
Noor Al-Rashidi
D
80
Yahya Naji
32'
F
Yahya Naji
32'
F
11
Yakou Méïté
32'
F
Yakou Méïté
32'
F
Best on the pitch
K. Coman
M · Al-Nassr
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
Cristiano Ronaldo
F · Al-Nassr
8.50
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 10 pass
João Félix
F · Al-Nassr
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 30 pass
Morlaye Sylla
M · Damac
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Kewin
G · Damac
7.30
· 34 pass
Iñigo Martínez
D · Al-Nassr
7.20
· 42 pass
Al-Nassr — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bento | G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Martínez | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| M. Simakan | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mané | M | 87 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Coman | M | 93 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| João Félix | F | 93 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 87 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 5 | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Ghareeb | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ângelo | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Damac — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kewin | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Obaid | D | 93 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Hassan Rubayyi | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Bedrane | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Harkass | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alhwsawi Sanousi Mohammed | D | 81 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dhari Al-Enezi | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tareq Abdullah A Mohammed | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Morlaye Sylla | M | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan Okita | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Arielson | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| David Kaiki | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Khaled Al-Semeiry | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yahya Naji | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yakou Méïté | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Nassr vs Damac?
The final score was Al-Nassr 4–1 Damac.
What did the model predict before Al-Nassr vs Damac?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Al-Nassr win, 14% to a draw, and 10% to an Damac win.