Al-Nassr - Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League Two
May 16, 2026 19:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.25%
Win
Al-Nassr
16.87%
Draw
18.88%
Win
Gamba Osaka
2.9
1.53
Expected xG
Model prediction
Al-Nassr
64.25%
Probability
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Nassr a 64% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Gamba Osaka. Expected goals are 2.9 for Al-Nassr and 1.5 for Gamba Osaka (total 4.4), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.6% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Al-Nassr
Gamba Osaka →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Al-Nassr
Attack
65
Defence
76
Form
72
Gamba Osaka
Attack
46
Defence
69
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Gamba Osaka?
The model gives Al-Nassr a 64% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 18% for an Gamba Osaka win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Nassr vs Gamba Osaka?
Expected goals: Al-Nassr 2.9, Gamba Osaka 1.5 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Nassr vs Gamba Osaka?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.6%.