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AFC Champions League · League Phase - 2 October 12, 2026 20:15 Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh
Al-Nassr
#9 · 3 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Neftchi
#10 · 3 pts
Angelo Borges (ast. Nawaf Boushal) 33'
Cristiano Ronaldo (ast. Ayman Yahya) 42'
Anvarjon Gofurov 78' (og)
51' Alisher Odilov
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Neftchi 30%). The final result was Al-Nassr 3–1 Neftchi.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
2.19
Actual xG
0.61
0
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
5
14
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ Kingsley Coman / Ayman Yahya
13'
17'
Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev
30'
Anvarjon Gofurov
⚽Angelo Borges · ast. Nawaf Boushal
33'
⚽Cristiano Ronaldo · ast. Ayman Yahya
42'
Iñigo Martínez
45'+3
45'+3
Marcus Forss
45'
Alisher Odilov / Yan Medeiros Sasse ↕
45'
45'
Farrukh Sayfiev / Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev ↕
51'
Alisher Odilov⚽
62'
Asilbek Jumaev / Abrorbek ismoilov ↕
63'
Stipe Perica / Marcus Forss ↕
65'
Ikromzhon Alibaev
70'
Ratinho / Michel ↕
↕ Mohamed Simakan / Nader Abdullah Al-Sharari
72'
↕ Ayman Yahya / Abdullah Al-Khaibari
72'
⚽Anvarjon Gofurov (og)
78'
↕ Sadio Mané / Abdullah Al-Hamdan
81'
Pre-match prediction
38.51%
Al-Nassr ←
30.86%
X
30.63%
Neftchi
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr) 38.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al-Nassr
2.09
2.19
+0.1
Neftchi
1.00
0.61
-0.39
Al-Nassr dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0
Lineups
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 4-4-2
24 Bento Bento G 6.93
70 Awad Aman Awad Aman D 7.01
26 Íñigo Martínez Íñigo Martínez D 7.04
3 M. Simakan M. Simakan 72' D 7.45
12 Nawaf Boushal Nawaf Boushal 1 👟 D 7.33
10 S. Mané S. Mané 81' M 6.75
11 Samú Costa Samú Costa M 7.20
20 Ângelo Ângelo 1 ⚽ M 8.20
21 K. Coman K. Coman 13' M 6.38
7 Cristiano Ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo 1 ⚽ F 8.20
79 João Félix João Félix F 6.24
Bench
53 A. Al Otaibi A. Al Otaibi G 0.00
9 Abdullah Al Hamdan Abdullah Al Hamdan 9' F 6.51
17 Abdullah Al Khaibari Abdullah Al Khaibari 18' M 6.71
23 Ayman Yahya Ayman Yahya 1 👟 59' M 6.57
8 Hayder Abdulkareem Hayder Abdulkareem M 0.00
4 Nader Al Sharari Nader Al Sharari 18' D 6.49
60 Saad Haqawi Saad Haqawi F 0.00
14 Sami Al Naji Sami Al Naji M 0.00
Neftchi Neftchi 4-3-3
1 B. Ergashev B. Ergashev G 5.36
3 Michel Michel 70' D 6.07
4 B. Ciger B. Ciger D 6.29
6
45' D 5.47
52 K. Kouao K. Kouao D 6.39
31 Yan Sasse Yan Sasse 45' M 5.76
5 I. Alibaev I. Alibaev 65' M 5.27
10 J. Iskanderov J. Iskanderov M 6.03
7 A. Ismailov A. Ismailov 62' F 5.81
20 A. G'ofurov A. G'ofurov 1 ⚽ F 5.01
88 M. Forss M. Forss 63' F 6.16
Bench
11 A. Jumayev A. Jumayev 28' M 6.10
22 Alisher Odilov Alisher Odilov 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.17
45 A. Turaev A. Turaev G 0.00
71 B. Toshmirzaev B. Toshmirzaev F 0.00
34 F. Sayfiyev F. Sayfiyev 45' D 5.86
9 K. Giyosov K. Giyosov F 0.00
21 M. Ubaydullayev M. Ubaydullayev M 0.00
77 Ratinho Ratinho 20' M 5.91
18 S. Perica S. Perica 27' F 6.30
8 V. Jovović V. Jovović M 0.00
32 Z. Marušić Z. Marušić F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Ângelo
Ângelo
M · Al-Nassr
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
Cristiano Ronaldo
Cristiano Ronaldo
F · Al-Nassr
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
M. Simakan
M. Simakan
D · Al-Nassr
7.45
· 59 pass
Nawaf Boushal
Nawaf Boushal
D · Al-Nassr
7.33
1 👟
1 shots · 52 pass
Samú Costa
Samú Costa
M · Al-Nassr
7.20
1 shots · 63 pass
Alisher Odilov
Alisher Odilov
F · Neftchi
7.17
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bento G 90 6.93 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
Awad Aman D 90 7.01 — — 0 50 45% 1 — —
Íñigo Martínez D 90 7.04 — — 0 74 71% 0 1 —
M. Simakan D 72 7.45 — — 0 59 54% 1 — —
Nawaf Boushal D 90 7.33 — 1 1 52 47% 4 — —
S. Mané M 81 6.75 — — 3 35 28% 0 — —
Samú Costa M 90 7.20 — — 1 63 60% 2 — —
Ângelo M 90 8.20 1 — 2 61 53% 2 — —
K. Coman M 13 6.38 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
Cristiano Ronaldo F 90 8.20 1 — 3 28 24% 1 — —
João Félix F 90 6.24 — — 3 45 34% 1 — —
Abdullah Al Hamdan F 9 6.51 — — 2 4 3% 0 — —
Abdullah Al Khaibari M 18 6.71 — — 0 21 18% 0 — —
Ayman Yahya M 59 6.57 — 1 1 32 27% 1 — —
Nader Al Sharari D 18 6.49 — — 0 13 13% 0 — —
Neftchi Neftchi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Ergashev G 90 5.36 — — 0 22 11% 0 — —
Michel D 70 6.07 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
B. Ciger D 90 6.29 — — 0 29 26% 1 — —
D 45 5.47 — — 0 15 14% 0 1 —
K. Kouao D 90 6.39 — — 1 37 28% 1 — —
Yan Sasse M 45 5.76 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
I. Alibaev M 65 5.27 — — 0 29 25% 0 — 1
J. Iskanderov M 90 6.03 — — 1 45 35% 1 — —
A. Ismailov F 62 5.81 — — 1 25 18% 0 — —
A. G'ofurov F 90 5.01 1 — 1 20 18% 1 1 —
M. Forss F 63 6.16 — — 0 7 6% 0 1 —
A. Jumayev M 28 6.10 — — 2 8 5% 2 — —
Alisher Odilov F 45 7.17 1 — 1 5 2% 0 — —
F. Sayfiyev D 45 5.86 — — 0 12 10% 1 — —
Ratinho M 20 5.91 — — 0 13 10% 1 — —
S. Perica F 27 6.30 — — 2 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Nassr vs Neftchi?
The final score was Al-Nassr 3–1 Neftchi.
What did the model predict before Al-Nassr vs Neftchi?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Al-Nassr win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Neftchi win.