Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 28
April 11, 2026 22:00
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Nassr
15'
(ast. N. Boushal)
C. Ronaldo
47'
Joao Felix
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 74% win probability (draw 14%, Al Okhdood 10%). The final result was Al Okhdood 0–2 Al-Nassr. In 1 previous meetings, Al Okhdood have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Nassr.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
14
0
Shots on target
7
0.09
Actual xG
2.49
5
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
6
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
ast. N. Boushal ·
C. Ronaldo⚽
45'+2
Mohamed Simakan
47'
Joao Felix⚽
Khaled Al-Lazam
56'
A. Al Hatila
/ Y. Neyou
64'
67'
S. Al Ghannam
/
A. Yahya
67'
A. Al Khaibari
/
K. Coman
74'
João Félix
K. Al Lazam
/ S. Al Abbas
82'
82'
A. Al Hamdan
/
C. Ronaldo
82'
A. Ghareeb
/
Angelo
K. Narey
/ S. M. Al Harthi
83'
C. Bassogog
/ M. Al Jahif
83'
M. Borrell
/ N. Asiri
83'
Saleh Al-Harthi
87'
89'
S. Al Najdi
/
N. Boushal
Pre-match prediction
10.96%
Al
14.91%
X
74.13%
Al-Nassr ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr)
74.13%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
0.09
-0.82
2.69
2.49
-0.2
Al-Nassr dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
G
98
D
22
D
17
D
8
D
7
Khaled Narey
83'
M
Khaled Narey
83'
M
55
M. Borrell
83'
M
18
Juan Pedroza
M
Juan Pedroza
M
13
Christian Bassogog
83'
M
Christian Bassogog
83'
M
99
Khaled Al-Lazam
82'
F
Khaled Al-Lazam
82'
F
12
Abdulaziz Al Hatila
64'
F
Abdulaziz Al Hatila
64'
F
Bench
14
Saleh Al Abbas
12'
F
Saleh Al Abbas
12'
F
20
Saleh Al-Harthi
11'
M
24
G
23
Ayman Yahya
67'
D
Ayman Yahya
67'
D
5
D
3
M. Simakan
D
M. Simakan
D
12
Nawaf Boushal
1 👟
89'
D
Nawaf Boushal
1 👟
89'
D
10
S. Mané
M
S. Mané
M
20
Ângelo
82'
M
Ângelo
82'
M
11
Marcelo Brozović
M
Marcelo Brozović
M
21
Kingsley Coman
67'
M
Kingsley Coman
67'
M
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
1 ⚽
82'
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
1 ⚽
82'
F
79
João Félix
1 ⚽
F
João Félix
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
A. Al Khaibari
27'
M
A. Al Khaibari
27'
M
9
Abdullah Al-Hamdan
12'
F
Abdullah Al-Hamdan
12'
F
29
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
12'
F
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
12'
F
96
Saad Al-Nasser
D
Saad Al-Nasser
D
2
Sultan Al-Ghannam
27'
D
Sultan Al-Ghannam
27'
D
Best on the pitch
D · Al-Nassr
7.70
3 shots
· 81 pass
Marcelo Brozović
M · Al-Nassr
7.60
· 93 pass
M. Simakan
D · Al-Nassr
7.50
· 74 pass
Ayman Yahya
D · Al-Nassr
7.50
1 shots
· 56 pass
João Félix
F · Al-Nassr
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
S. Mané
M · Al-Nassr
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Al Okhdood — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 5 | — | — | |
| Khaled Narey | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Borrell | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Pedroza | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Christian Bassogog | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Khaled Al-Lazam | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Hatila | F | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Saleh Al Abbas | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Saleh Al-Harthi | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Al-Nassr — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Ayman Yahya | D | 67 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 81 | 77% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Simakan | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mané | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Ângelo | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Brozović | M | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 93 | 86% | 2 | — | — |
| Kingsley Coman | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 82 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| João Félix | F | 94 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Al Khaibari | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Hamdan | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Ghareeb | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al-Ghannam | D | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr?
The final score was Al Okhdood 0–2 Al-Nassr.
What did the model predict before Al Okhdood vs Al-Nassr?
The model assigned 10% probability to a Al Okhdood win, 14% to a draw, and 74% to an Al-Nassr win.