Julián Quiñones
(ast. Musab Al-Juwayr)
31'
Mateo Retegui
(ast. Tijjani Reijnders)
87'
21'
(ast. Ollie Watkins)
Gabriel Martinelli
77'
(ast. Sergej Milinković-Savić)
Rúben Neves
84'
(ast. Sultan Mandash)
Sergej Milinković-Savić
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 32%). The final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC. In 2 previous meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
19
6
Shots on target
9
0.72
Actual xG
2.86
6
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
4
11
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Nahitan Nández
/ Yasir Al-Shahrani
18'
21'
ast. Ollie Watkins ·
Gabriel Martinelli⚽
⚽Julián Quiñones
· ast. Musab Al-Juwayr
31'
36'
Hassan Al-Tambakti
49'
Sultan Mandash
/
Gabriel Martinelli
74'
Ali Lajami
/
Hassan Al-Tambakti
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
76'
77'
ast. Sergej Milinković-Savić ·
Rúben Neves⚽
Musab Al-Juwayr
/ Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
83'
84'
ast. Sultan Mandash ·
Sergej Milinković-Savić⚽
86'
Rúben Neves
⚽Mateo Retegui
· ast. Tijjani Reijnders
87'
88'
Salem Al-Dawsari
/
Crysencio Summerville
88'
Moteb Al-Harbi
/
Theo Hernandez
88'
Mohamed Kanno
/
Nasser Al-Dawsari
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
/ Turki Al-Ammar
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
32.5%
Al-Qadisiyah
25.61%
X
41.89%
Al-Hilal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Hilal Saudi FC)
41.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
0.72
-1.25
2.47
2.86
+0.39
Al-Hilal Saudi FC dominated by xG (2.86 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Casteels
G
K. Casteels
G
8
N. Nández
18'
D
N. Nández
18'
D
17
G. Álvarez
D
G. Álvarez
D
4
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
22
C. Bonsu Baah
M
C. Bonsu Baah
M
14
T. Reijnders
1 👟
M
T. Reijnders
1 👟
M
5
J. Weigl
M
J. Weigl
M
10
Musab Al Juwayr
1 👟
83'
M
Musab Al Juwayr
1 👟
83'
M
2
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
89'
M
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
89'
M
33
J. Quiñones
1 ⚽
F
J. Quiñones
1 ⚽
F
32
M. Retegui
1 ⚽
F
M. Retegui
1 ⚽
F
Bench
35
A. Al Siyahi
M
A. Al Siyahi
M
9
Abdullah Al Salem
F
Abdullah Al Salem
F
18
Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
M
Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
M
28
Ahmed Al Kassar
G
Ahmed Al Kassar
G
27
E. Houssa
M
E. Houssa
M
15
Mohammed Al Qahtani
7'
F
Mohammed Al Qahtani
7'
F
7
Turki Al Ammar
1'
M
Turki Al Ammar
1'
M
12
Yasir Al Shahrani
72'
D
Yasir Al Shahrani
72'
D
37
Y. Bounou
G
Y. Bounou
G
19
T. Hernández
88'
D
T. Hernández
88'
D
3
K. Koulibaly
D
K. Koulibaly
D
87
Hassan Tambakti
74'
D
Hassan Tambakti
74'
D
2
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D
8
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
M
Rúben Neves
1 ⚽
M
6
Nasser Al Dawsari
88'
M
Nasser Al Dawsari
88'
M
22
S. Milinković-Savić
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
S. Milinković-Savić
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
38
C. Summerville
88'
F
C. Summerville
88'
F
11
O. Watkins
1 👟
F
O. Watkins
1 👟
F
7
Gabriel Martinelli
1 ⚽
49'
F
Gabriel Martinelli
1 ⚽
49'
F
Bench
78
Ali Lajami
16'
D
Ali Lajami
16'
D
28
Mohamed Kanno
2'
M
Mohamed Kanno
2'
M
33
Mohammed Al Owais
G
Mohammed Al Owais
G
24
Moteb Al Harbi
2'
D
Moteb Al Harbi
2'
D
18
Murad Al Hawsawi
M
Murad Al Hawsawi
M
77
Nawaf Al Habashi
M
Nawaf Al Habashi
M
29
Salem Al Dawsari
2'
M
Salem Al Dawsari
2'
M
72
S. Dahal
F
S. Dahal
F
27
Sultan Mandash
1 👟
41'
F
Sultan Mandash
1 👟
41'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Milinković-Savić
M · Al-Hilal
8.47
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 44 pass
M. Retegui
F · Al-Qadisiyah
7.93
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Gabriel Martinelli
F · Al-Hilal
7.88
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 7 pass
J. Quiñones
F · Al-Qadisiyah
7.87
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 43 pass
Musab Al Juwayr
M · Al-Qadisiyah
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 67 pass
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
D · Al-Hilal
7.48
· 40 pass
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Casteels | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Nández | D | 18 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jehad Abdullatif Ahm | D | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Bonsu Baah | M | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Reijnders | M | 90 | 6.85 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Weigl | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 83 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 67 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al Shamat | M | 89 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Quiñones | F | 90 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 3 | 43 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Retegui | F | 90 | 7.93 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Qahtani | F | 7 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Turki Al Ammar | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Yasir Al Shahrani | D | 72 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bounou | G | 90 | 7.21 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Hernández | D | 88 | 6.83 | — | — | 4 | 46 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Koulibaly | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 74 | 5.89 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari | D | 90 | 7.48 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Rúben Neves | M | 90 | 7.47 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nasser Al Dawsari | M | 88 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Milinković-Savić | M | 90 | 8.47 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 44 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Summerville | F | 88 | 7.16 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 90 | 7.37 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | 49 | 7.88 | 1 | — | 4 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 16 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 2 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 2 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Salem Al Dawsari | M | 2 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Sultan Mandash | F | 41 | 6.86 | — | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
The final score was Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
What did the model predict before Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Al-Qadisiyah FC win, 25% to a draw, and 41% to an Al-Hilal Saudi FC win.