AFC Champions League
· League Phase - 3
October 26, 2026 19:15
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
Julián Quiñones
(ast. Christopher Bonsu Baah)
84'
74'
(ast. Mohamed Camara)
Akram Afif
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Al Sadd 33%). The final result was Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al Sadd.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
0.84
Actual xG
1.44
1
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
4
7
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
43'
Mohamed Camara
45'+4
Paulo Otávio
45'
Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva
/
Hashim Ali
Suleman Sani
/ Christopher Bonsu Baah
55'
Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
/ Tijjani Reijnders
55'
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
59'
61'
Mohamed Manai
/
Yusuf Abdurisag
Ahmed Al-Siyahi
/ Jehad Thakri
67'
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
/ Turki Al-Ammar
68'
74'
ast. Mohamed Camara ·
Akram Afif⚽
75'
Mohamed Waad
/
Paulo Otávio
79'
Mostafa Mashaal
/
Roberto Firmino
84'
Mostafa Mashaal
⚽Julián Quiñones
· ast. Christopher Bonsu Baah
84'
Musab Al-Juwayr
90'+3
Gastón Álvarez
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.78%
Al-Qadisiyah
23.57%
X ←
33.65%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
0.84
-1.59
2.12
1.44
-0.68
Al Sadd dominated by xG (1.44 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Casteels
G
K. Casteels
G
12
Yasir Al Shahrani
D
Yasir Al Shahrani
D
17
G. Álvarez
D
G. Álvarez
D
35
A. Al Siyahi
67'
D
A. Al Siyahi
67'
D
10
Musab Al Juwayr
M
Musab Al Juwayr
M
70
S. Suleiman
55'
M
S. Suleiman
55'
M
5
J. Weigl
M
J. Weigl
M
15
Mohammed Al Qahtani
55'
M
Mohammed Al Qahtani
55'
M
2
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
68'
M
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
68'
M
32
M. Retegui
F
M. Retegui
F
33
J. Quiñones
1 ⚽
F
J. Quiñones
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Abdullah Al Salem
F
Abdullah Al Salem
F
18
Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
M
Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
M
28
Ahmed Al Kassar
G
Ahmed Al Kassar
G
22
C. Bonsu Baah
1 👟
35'
F
C. Bonsu Baah
1 👟
35'
F
27
E. Houssa
M
E. Houssa
M
4
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
23'
D
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
23'
D
50
Meshari Sunyur
G
Meshari Sunyur
G
30
M. Sangare
F
M. Sangare
F
14
T. Reijnders
35'
M
T. Reijnders
35'
M
7
Turki Al Ammar
22'
M
Turki Al Ammar
22'
M
22
Meshaal Barsham
G
Meshaal Barsham
G
6
Paulo Otávio
75'
D
Paulo Otávio
75'
D
16
Boualem Khoukhi
D
Boualem Khoukhi
D
5
Tarek Salman
D
Tarek Salman
D
2
Pedro Miguel
D
Pedro Miguel
D
33
Claudinho
M
Claudinho
M
4
M. Camara
1 👟
M
M. Camara
1 👟
M
30
Akram Afif
1 ⚽
M
Akram Afif
1 ⚽
M
9
Roberto Firmino
79'
M
Roberto Firmino
79'
M
23
Hashim Ali
45'
M
Hashim Ali
45'
M
12
Y. Abdurisag
61'
F
Y. Abdurisag
61'
F
Bench
21
A. Bounacer
D
A. Bounacer
D
11
Giovani
45'
F
Giovani
45'
F
8
Guilherme
M
Guilherme
M
10
Hassan Al Haydos
F
Hassan Al Haydos
F
17
Mohamed Al Manai
29'
M
Mohamed Al Manai
29'
M
7
Mohammed Waad
15'
M
Mohammed Waad
15'
M
14
Mostafa Meshaal
11'
M
Mostafa Meshaal
11'
M
1
Saad Al Sheeb
G
Saad Al Sheeb
G
20
Y. Atal
D
Y. Atal
D
3
Y. El Hannach
D
Y. El Hannach
D
31
Yousef Abdulla Baliadeh
G
Yousef Abdulla Baliadeh
G
Best on the pitch
J. Quiñones
F · Al-Qadisiyah
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 38 pass
Akram Afif
M · Al
7.76
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
M. Camara
M · Al
7.70
1 👟
· 42 pass
J. Weigl
M · Al-Qadisiyah
7.39
1 shots
· 80 pass
Boualem Khoukhi
D · Al
7.18
· 31 pass
Tarek Salman
D · Al
7.14
· 28 pass
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Casteels | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Yasir Al Shahrani | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 63% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Al Siyahi | D | 67 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 88 | 76% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Suleiman | M | 55 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Weigl | M | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 75% | 0 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Qahtani | M | 55 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al Shamat | M | 68 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 42% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Retegui | F | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Quiñones | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 38 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Bonsu Baah | F | 35 | 6.71 | — | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Jehad Abdullatif Ahm | D | 23 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Reijnders | M | 35 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Turki Al Ammar | M | 22 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Al Sadd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meshaal Barsham | G | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Otávio | D | 75 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Boualem Khoukhi | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Tarek Salman | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Miguel | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Claudinho | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Camara | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 42 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Akram Afif | M | 90 | 7.76 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Roberto Firmino | M | 79 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Hashim Ali | M | 45 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Abdurisag | F | 61 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Giovani | F | 45 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Al Manai | M | 29 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Mohammed Waad | M | 15 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Mostafa Meshaal | M | 11 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Sadd?
The final score was Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al Sadd.
What did the model predict before Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Sadd?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Al-Qadisiyah FC win, 23% to a draw, and 33% to an Al Sadd win.