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AFC Champions League · League Phase - 2 October 12, 2026 20:15 Basra Sports City, Basra
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
#11 · 3 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Al Ain
#1 · 9 pts
Mohammad Jawad (ast. Mohammad Sami) 89'
13' Alejandro Romero Gamarra
(og) 18' Saed Al-Rosan
23' (ast. Matías Palacios) Houssine Rahimi
43' (ast. Soufiane Rahimi) Houssine Rahimi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al Ain a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 30%). The final result was Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–4 Al Ain.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
19
2
Shots on target
8
1.72
Actual xG
2.40
0
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
9
10
Tackles
18
Match Events
13'
Alejandro Romero Gamarra⚽
18'
(og) Saed Al-Rosan⚽
23'
ast. Matías Palacios · Houssine Rahimi⚽
43'
ast. Soufiane Rahimi · Houssine Rahimi⚽
↕ Abbas Adil Neamah Al Chnani / Hareth Hatem
45'
↕ Tuisila Kisinda / Moses Orkuma
45'
↕ Haythem Jouini / Muslim Mousa
45'
50'
↕ Mohanad Jeahze / Ali Saad
62'
64'
Adis Jasic / Rafa Rodrigues ↕
64'
Baba Bello Ilou / Houssine Rahimi ↕
64'
Teun Gijselhart / Valentino Lazaro ↕
Abdulameer
68'
↕ Abdulameer / Mohammad Sami
77'
80'
Ibrahima Junior Ndiaye / Alejandro Romero Gamarra ↕
83'
Marcos André Paulino Maia / Djordje Skoko ↕
⚽Mohammad Jawad (missed pen.)
84'
⚽Mohammad Jawad · ast. Mohammad Sami
89'
Pre-match prediction
30.3%
Al
31.14%
X
38.56%
Al ←
we assigned to the actual result (Al Ain) 38.56% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
0.32
1.72
+1.41
Al
2.33
2.40
+0.07
Al Ain dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0
Lineups
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 5-4-1
95
45' G 5.65
6
45' D 5.65
19 A. Boudrama A. Boudrama D 5.80
5 Saed Al Rosan Saed Al Rosan 1 ⚽ D 5.03
2 Ruslan Hanoon Ruslan Hanoon D 6.43
17
45' D 5.65
9
45' M 5.65
24
45' M 5.65
25
45' M 5.65
29
45' M 5.65
10 M. Jawad M. Jawad 1 ⚽ F 7.23
Bench
7 A. Okpotu A. Okpotu F 0.00
Al Ain Al Ain 5-3-2
17 Khalid Eisa Khalid Eisa G 6.58
2 Rafael Rodrigues Rafael Rodrigues 64' D 7.14
6 Đ. Skoko Đ. Skoko 83' D 7.31
25 Rami Rabia Rami Rabia D 7.42
4 Y. Ben Khaleq Y. Ben Khaleq D 7.45
19 V. Lazaro V. Lazaro 64' D 7.57
20 M. Palacios M. Palacios 1 👟 M 7.70
70 Abdoul Karim Traoré Abdoul Karim Traoré M 7.20
10 A. Romero A. Romero 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.76
13 H. Rahimi H. Rahimi 2 ⚽ 64' F 9.72
21 S. Rahimi S. Rahimi 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
97 A. Jašić A. Jašić 26' M 6.47
56 A. Niang A. Niang D 0.00
18 B. Ilou B. Ilou 26' F 6.39
15 Erik Erik D 0.00
30 Hazem Mohammad Hazem Mohammad M 0.00
35 H. Muhammed H. Muhammed G 0.00
38 I. Ndiaye I. Ndiaye 10' M 6.47
54 Ismaila Okpoti Ismaila Okpoti D 0.00
80 Joshua Udoh Joshua Udoh M 0.00
3 Marcos Maia Marcos Maia 7' D 6.60
5 T. Gijselhart T. Gijselhart 26' M 6.41
Best on the pitch
H. Rahimi
H. Rahimi
F · Al
9.72
2 ⚽
6 shots · 7 pass
A. Romero
A. Romero
M · Al
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 44 pass
S. Rahimi
S. Rahimi
F · Al
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 41 pass
M. Palacios
M. Palacios
M · Al
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 67 pass
V. Lazaro
V. Lazaro
D · Al
7.57
1 shots · 38 pass
Y. Ben Khaleq
Y. Ben Khaleq
D · Al
7.45
· 71 pass
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
D 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
A. Boudrama D 90 5.80 — — 0 48 39% 1 — —
Saed Al Rosan D 90 5.03 1 — 1 44 37% 1 — —
Ruslan Hanoon D 90 6.43 — — 1 43 41% 1 — —
D 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
M 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
M 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
M 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
M 45 5.65 — — 0 21 17% 1 — —
M. Jawad F 90 7.23 1 — 2 20 13% 0 — —
Al Ain Al Ain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Khalid Eisa G 90 6.58 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
Rafael Rodrigues D 64 7.14 — — 0 37 34% 4 — —
Đ. Skoko D 83 7.31 — — 0 64 58% 4 — —
Rami Rabia D 90 7.42 — — 2 64 57% 1 — —
Y. Ben Khaleq D 90 7.45 — — 0 71 66% 4 — —
V. Lazaro D 64 7.57 — — 1 38 34% 2 — —
M. Palacios M 90 7.70 — 1 3 67 56% 0 — —
Abdoul Karim Traoré M 90 7.20 — — 1 65 61% 0 — —
A. Romero M 80 7.76 1 — 2 44 36% 1 — —
H. Rahimi F 64 9.72 2 — 6 7 7% 1 — —
S. Rahimi F 90 7.70 — 1 3 41 34% 0 — —
A. Jašić M 26 6.47 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
B. Ilou F 26 6.39 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
I. Ndiaye M 10 6.47 — — 0 6 6% 1 — —
Marcos Maia D 7 6.60 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
T. Gijselhart M 26 6.41 — — 0 17 16% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain?
The final score was Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–4 Al Ain.
What did the model predict before Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an Al Ain win.