Al-Rayyan SC - Al Faisaly
AFC Champions League Two
September 16, 2026 20:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.53%
Win
Al-Rayyan SC
31.96%
Draw
32.51%
Win
Al Faisaly
1.81
1.28
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.02%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Rayyan SC a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Al Faisaly. Expected goals are 1.8 for Al-Rayyan SC and 1.3 for Al Faisaly (total 3.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.02% probability.
Season Stats
8W
4D
3L
9W
3D
3L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.6
1.1
Conceded
0.6
5.5
Shots OT
—
2.0
Corners
—
43%
Poss.
—
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
53%
67%
O 2.5
47%
67%
BTTS
27%
27%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
6W
2D
2L
· at home
4W
4D
2L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.2
0.7
Conceded
0.7
60%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
50%
60%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Al-Rayyan SC
Al Faisaly →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Al-Rayyan SC
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
68
Al Faisaly
Attack
34
Defence
88
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group C
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Taawon
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Al-Rayyan SC
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Al Faisaly
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Al-Nahda
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group C
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #3 |
| → Al-Rayyan SC | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Al Faisaly | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Faisaly?
The model gives Al-Rayyan SC a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Al Faisaly win.
How many goals are expected in Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Faisaly?
Expected goals: Al-Rayyan SC 1.8, Al Faisaly 1.3 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Faisaly?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.02%.