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Al Riyadh - Al-Qadisiyah FC

Saudi Pro League October 29, 2026 19:00 Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Al Riyadh
#11 · 12 pts
vs
Al-Qadisiyah FC
#3 · 25 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 32.6°C 💨 4 km/h · Riyadh
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.82%
Win
Al Riyadh
23.28%
Draw
53.9%
Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1.26
Expected xG
2.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (9.5%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 23%
2 54%
Double Chance
1X 46%
X2 77%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Qadisiyah FC a 53% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al Riyadh. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Riyadh and 2.5 for Al-Qadisiyah FC (total 3.8), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.5% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Al Riyadh have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Season Stats

Al Riyadh
5W 4D 6L
Al-Qadisiyah FC
12W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.5
1.9
Conceded
1.0
3.5
Shots OT
5.4
4.1
Corners
5.9
41%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
87%
47%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Saudi Pro League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Al Riyadh
6W 1D 3L · at home
Al-Qadisiyah FC
8W 1D 1L · away
1.1
gls/g
2.7
1.2
Conceded
0.7
60%
Win %
80%
70%
Win or Draw
90%
60%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
50%
30%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al Riyadh Al-Qadisiyah FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 5.7% 7.2% 6.1% 3.9% 2.0%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
W Al Taawon 2–1
L Al Diriyah 1–0
D Al-Fayha 1–1
W Al Kholood 2–0
D Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
L Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–3
W Al Taawon 0–1
W Abha 2–1
W Al Kholood 0–5
D Al-Ettifaq 3–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
Attack
30
Defence
63
Form
52
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
Attack
61
Defence
63
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Al Riyadh
0
Draw
2
Al-Qadisiyah FC
29 Apr 2026 Saudi Pro League 0–4
4 Jan 2026 Saudi Pro League 0–4

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 10 27
2 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 10 25
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 11 25
4 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 10 23
5 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 10 21
6 NEOM NEOM 11 19
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 11 18
8 Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 11 15
9 Al Kholood Al Kholood 10 12
10 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 11 12
11 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 10 12
12 Al Shabab Al Shabab 10 11
13 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 11 10
14 Al-Faisaly FC Al-Faisaly FC 11 10
15 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 11 8
16 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 11 6
17 Al Taawon Al Taawon 11 4
18 Abha Abha 10 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The model gives Al Riyadh a 22% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 53% for an Al-Qadisiyah FC win.
How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Expected goals: Al Riyadh 1.3, Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.5 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.5%.