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Al Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah

AFC Champions League November 02, 2026 17:00
Al Sadd
#14 · 1 pts
vs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.73%
Win
Al Sadd
22.79%
Draw
48.48%
Win
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1.52
Expected xG
2.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.9%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 23%
2 48%
Double Chance
1X 52%
X2 71%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 48% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Al Sadd. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Sadd and 2.3 for Al-Ahli Jeddah (total 3.8), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al Sadd have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Season Stats

Al Sadd
2W 5D 6L
Al-Ahli Jeddah
11W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.2
2.2
Conceded
0.9
5.8
Shots OT
4.7
6.8
Corners
3.7
48%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
73%
62%
O 2.5
67%
77%
BTTS
60%
8%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Al Sadd
1W 2D 3L · at home
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4W 2D 0L · away
1.7
gls/g
2.3
2.3
Conceded
0.8
17%
Win %
67%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
83%
50%
O 3.5
50%
83%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
17%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al Sadd Al-Ahli Jeddah →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 5.0% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.7% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Al Sadd Al Sadd
D Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1
L Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–2
L Esteghlal FC 3–0
D Vissel Kobe 3–3
D Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
W Al-Gharafa 2–1
W Al-Wasl FC 1–3
D Pakhtakor 1–1
W Machida Zelvia 1–0
W Vissel Kobe 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 21%

Playing profile

Al Sadd Al Sadd
Attack
55
Defence
52
Form
44
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
61
Defence
69
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Al Sadd
0
Draw
1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 Nov 2025 AFC Champions League 1–2

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al Sadd Al-Ahli Jeddah
Current #14 #3
→ Al Sadd #9 #3
→ Draw #13 #3
→ Al-Ahli Jeddah #14 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The model gives Al Sadd a 28% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 48% for an Al-Ahli Jeddah win.
How many goals are expected in Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Expected goals: Al Sadd 1.5, Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.3 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.9%.