AFC Champions League
· Quarter-finals
April 16, 2026 18:15
Rafa Mújica
(ast. Akram Afif)
6'
Rafa Mújica
(ast. Roberto Firmino)
61'
Roberto Firmino
(ast. Rafa Mújica)
65'
24'
(ast. Gotoku Sakai)
Yuya Osako
74'
(ast. Jean Patric)
Yosuke Ideguchi
90'+3
(ast. Rikuto Hirose)
Yoshinori Muto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vissel Kobe a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Al Sadd 31%). The final result was Al Sadd 3–3 Vissel Kobe.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
16
8
Shots on target
4
2.85
Actual xG
2.84
1
Saves
5
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
-5'
Shuichi Gonda
⚽Rafa Mújica
· ast. Akram Afif
6'
24'
ast. Gotoku Sakai ·
Yuya Osako⚽
Pedro Miguel
/ Tarek Salman
46'
⚽Rafa Mújica
· ast. Roberto Firmino
61'
⚽Roberto Firmino
· ast. Rafa Mújica
65'
67'
Jean Patric
/
Yuta Goke
67'
Makoto Mitsuta
/
Daiju Sasaki
74'
ast. Jean Patric ·
Yosuke Ideguchi⚽
81'
Rikuto Hirose
/
Gotoku Sakai
81'
Kento Hamasaki
/
Takahiro Ogihara
Mohamed Camara
/ Giovani
82'
89'
Mitsuki Hidaka
/
Yosuke Ideguchi
90'+3
ast. Rikuto Hirose ·
Yoshinori Muto⚽
Rafa Mújica
/ Ahmed Suhail
90'
91'
Caetano
/
Thuler
Romain Saiss
/ Javairô Dilrosun
96'
Pre-match prediction
31.38%
Al
30.46%
X ←
38.16%
Vissel
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.85
+1.38
2.58
2.84
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (2.85 – 2.84).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
16
D
6
D
2
Pedro Miguel
45'
D
Pedro Miguel
45'
D
29
Romain Saiss
D
80
A. Soria
M
4
M. Camara
82'
M
M. Camara
82'
M
33
Claudinho
M
Claudinho
M
7
Akram Afif
1 👟
M
Akram Afif
1 👟
M
9
Roberto Firmino
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Roberto Firmino
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
19
Rafa Mujica
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
Rafa Mujica
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
1
Daiya Maekawa
G
Daiya Maekawa
G
24
Gotoku Sakai
1 👟
81'
D
Gotoku Sakai
1 👟
81'
D
4
Tetsushi Yamakawa
D
Tetsushi Yamakawa
D
3
Thuler
D
Thuler
D
41
Katsuya Nagato
D
Katsuya Nagato
D
6
Takahiro Ogihara
81'
M
7
Yosuke Ideguchi
1 ⚽
89'
M
Yosuke Ideguchi
1 ⚽
89'
M
11
Y. Muto
1 ⚽
M
Y. Muto
1 ⚽
M
5
Yuta Goke
67'
M
Yuta Goke
67'
M
13
Daiju Sasaki
67'
M
Daiju Sasaki
67'
M
10
Yuya Osako
1 ⚽
F
Yuya Osako
1 ⚽
F
Bench
80
Boniface Nduka
D
Boniface Nduka
D
16
Caetano
30'
D
Caetano
30'
D
26
Jean Patric
1 👟
53'
F
19
Makoto Mitsuta
53'
F
Makoto Mitsuta
53'
F
44
Mitsuki Hidaka
31'
M
Mitsuki Hidaka
31'
M
23
Rikuto Hirose
1 👟
39'
D
Rikuto Hirose
1 👟
39'
D
71
Shuichi Gonda
G
Shuichi Gonda
G
25
Yuya Kuwasaki
M
Yuya Kuwasaki
M
Best on the pitch
Rafa Mujica
F · Al
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 10 pass
Roberto Firmino
F · Al
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 36 pass
Claudinho
M · Al
7.90
1 shots
· 80 pass
Daiya Maekawa
G · Vissel
7.70
· 40 pass
Yuya Osako
F · Vissel
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 52 pass
Akram Afif
M · Al
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 45 pass
Al Sadd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| D | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 9 | — | — | |
| Pedro Miguel | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Romain Saiss | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 44% | — | — | — |
| A. Soria | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Camara | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudinho | M | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| Akram Afif | M | 120 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Firmino | F | 120 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Mujica | F | 89 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Vissel Kobe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daiya Maekawa | G | 120 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Gotoku Sakai | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Tetsushi Yamakawa | D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 96 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Thuler | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Katsuya Nagato | D | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 79 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Takahiro Ogihara | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Yosuke Ideguchi | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Muto | M | 120 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuta Goke | M | 67 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Daiju Sasaki | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Yuya Osako | F | 120 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Caetano | D | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jean Patric | F | 53 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Makoto Mitsuta | F | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Mitsuki Hidaka | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Rikuto Hirose | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Vissel Kobe?
The final score was Al Sadd 3–3 Vissel Kobe.
What did the model predict before Al Sadd vs Vissel Kobe?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Al Sadd win, 30% to a draw, and 38% to an Vissel Kobe win.