✓Model correct — prediction Al-Nassr
Y. Carrasco
30'
A. Al Bulayhi
(ast. H. Al Hammami)
80'
3'
Joao Felix
10'
(ast. A. Ghareeb)
Joao Felix
75'
(ast. S. Mane)
C. Ronaldo
(pen.)
90'
Joao Felix
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Al Shabab 17%). The final result was Al Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr. In 1 previous meetings, Al Shabab have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Nassr.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.41
Actual xG
3.40
1
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
8
19
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
Joao Felix⚽
10'
ast. A. Ghareeb ·
Joao Felix⚽
⚽Y. Carrasco
30'
71'
N. Boushal
/
A. Ghareeb
75'
ast. S. Mane ·
C. Ronaldo⚽
A. Azaizeh
/ A. Al Othman
78'
V. Sierro
/ B. Al Sayyali
78'
⚽A. Al Bulayhi
· ast. H. Al Hammami
80'
Saad Yaslam Balobaid
85'
86'
S. Al Nasser
/
S. Al Ghannam
86'
S. Al Najdi
/
A. Yahya
90'+1
A. Al Hassan
/
M. Brozovic
90'+1
A. Al Hamdan
/
C. Ronaldo
90'+6
Marcelo Grohe
90'+7
90'+9
Salem Alnajdi
90'
(pen.)
Joao Felix⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.53%
Al
15.58%
X
66.89%
Al-Nassr ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr)
66.89%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
1.41
+0.14
2.80
3.40
+0.6
Al-Nassr dominated by xG (3.40 vs 1.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
43
Marcelo Grohe
G
Marcelo Grohe
G
31
Saad Yaslam
D
Saad Yaslam
D
3
Ali Al Bulayhi
1 ⚽
D
Ali Al Bulayhi
1 ⚽
D
4
W. Hoedt
D
W. Hoedt
D
17
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
D
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
D
14
V. Sierro
78'
M
V. Sierro
78'
M
22
H. Al Hammami
1 👟
H. Al Hammami
1 👟
29
Y. Adli
M
Y. Adli
M
8
J. Brownhill
M
J. Brownhill
M
99
Ali Al Azaizeh
78'
M
10
Y. Carrasco
1 ⚽
F
Y. Carrasco
1 ⚽
F
Bench
91
Abdulaziz Al Othman
12'
F
Abdulaziz Al Othman
12'
F
23
Abdulaziz Rahma
G
Abdulaziz Rahma
G
5
Ali Makki
D
Ali Makki
D
37
A. Matuq
A. Matuq
20
Basil Al Sayyali
12'
M
Basil Al Sayyali
12'
M
6
Faisal Al Subiani
M
Faisal Al Subiani
M
16
Hussain Al Sibyani
D
Hussain Al Sibyani
D
2
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
D
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
D
7
Unai Hernández
M
Unai Hernández
M
24
Bento
G
Bento
G
23
Ayman Yahya
86'
D
Ayman Yahya
86'
D
26
Íñigo Martínez
D
Íñigo Martínez
D
5
Abdulelah Al Amri
D
Abdulelah Al Amri
D
2
Sultan Al-Ghannam
86'
D
Sultan Al-Ghannam
86'
D
10
S. Mané
1 👟
M
S. Mané
1 👟
M
11
M. Brozović
89'
M
M. Brozović
89'
M
17
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M
Abdullah Al Khaibari
M
29
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
1 👟
71'
M
Abdulrahman Ghareeb
1 👟
71'
M
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
1 ⚽
89'
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
1 ⚽
89'
F
79
João Félix
3 ⚽
F
João Félix
3 ⚽
F
Bench
53
A. Al Otaibi
G
A. Al Otaibi
G
9
Abdullah Al Hamdan
9'
F
Abdullah Al Hamdan
9'
F
19
Ali Al Hassan
9'
M
Ali Al Hassan
9'
M
16
Mohammed Marran
F
Mohammed Marran
F
4
Nader Al Sharari
D
Nader Al Sharari
D
12
Nawaf Boushal
19'
D
Nawaf Boushal
19'
D
96
Saad Al Nasser
14'
D
Saad Al Nasser
14'
D
83
Salem Al Najdi
14'
D
Salem Al Najdi
14'
D
Best on the pitch
João Félix
F · Al-Nassr
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 39 pass
Y. Carrasco
F · Al
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Ali Al Bulayhi
D · Al
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Bento
G · Al-Nassr
7.30
· 21 pass
Cristiano Ronaldo
F · Al-Nassr
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
V. Sierro
M · Al
7.20
· 38 pass
Al Shabab — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Grohe | G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Saad Yaslam | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ali Al Bulayhi | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Sierro | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Al Hammami | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Y. Adli | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Brownhill | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Al Azaizeh | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Carrasco | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Othman | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Basil Al Sayyali | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Al-Nassr — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bento | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Íñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Amri | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Sultan Al-Ghannam | D | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mané | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Brozović | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Ghareeb | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| João Félix | F | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 4 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Saad Al Nasser | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Salem Al Najdi | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
The final score was Al Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr.
What did the model predict before Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Al Shabab win, 15% to a draw, and 66% to an Al-Nassr win.