← Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 33 May 07, 2026 20:00
Al Shabab
#14 · 32 pts
2 – 4
Final score
Al-Nassr
#1 · 83 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Nassr
Y. Carrasco 30'
A. Al Bulayhi (ast. H. Al Hammami) 80'
3' Joao Felix
10' (ast. A. Ghareeb) Joao Felix
75' (ast. S. Mane) C. Ronaldo
(pen.) 90' Joao Felix

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Nassr a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Al Shabab 17%). The final result was Al Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr. In 1 previous meetings, Al Shabab have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Nassr.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.41
Actual xG
3.40
1
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
8
19
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
Joao Felix⚽
10'
ast. A. Ghareeb · Joao Felix⚽
⚽Y. Carrasco
30'
71'
N. Boushal / A. Ghareeb ↕
75'
ast. S. Mane · C. Ronaldo⚽
↕ A. Azaizeh / A. Al Othman
78'
↕ V. Sierro / B. Al Sayyali
78'
⚽A. Al Bulayhi · ast. H. Al Hammami
80'
Saad Yaslam Balobaid
85'
86'
S. Al Nasser / S. Al Ghannam ↕
86'
S. Al Najdi / A. Yahya ↕
90'+1
A. Al Hassan / M. Brozovic ↕
90'+1
A. Al Hamdan / C. Ronaldo ↕
90'+6
Marcelo Grohe
90'+7
90'+9
Salem Alnajdi
90'
(pen.) Joao Felix⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.53%
Al
15.58%
X
66.89%
Al-Nassr ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al-Nassr) 66.89% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Al
1.27
1.41
+0.14
Al-Nassr
2.80
3.40
+0.6
Al-Nassr dominated by xG (3.40 vs 1.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Lineups
Al Shabab Al Shabab 4-1-4-1
43 Marcelo Grohe Marcelo Grohe G 5.70
31 S. Balobaid S. Balobaid D 6.00
3 A. Al Bulayhi A. Al Bulayhi 1 ⚽ D 7.30
4 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt D 6.20
17 M. Al Thani M. Al Thani D 6.30
14 V. Sierro V. Sierro 78' M 7.20
22
H. Al Hammami 1 👟
29 Y. Adli Y. Adli M 6.90
8 J. Brownhill J. Brownhill M 6.90
99 A. Azaizeh A. Azaizeh 78' M 6.00
10 Y. Carrasco Y. Carrasco 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
23 A. Al Awardi A. Al Awardi G
91 A. Al Othman A. Al Othman 12' F 6.50
5 A. Makki A. Makki D
37
A. Matuq
20 B. Al Sayyali B. Al Sayyali 12' M 6.70
6 F. Al Subiani F. Al Subiani M
16 K. A. Al Sibyani H. K. A. Al Sibyani H. D
2 M. Al Shwirekh M. Al Shwirekh D
7 U. Hernandez U. Hernandez M
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 4-4-2
24 Bento Bento G 7.30
23 Ayman Yahya Ayman Yahya 86' D 6.20
26 Iñigo Martínez Iñigo Martínez D 6.90
5 Abdulelah Al-Amri Abdulelah Al-Amri D 6.90
2 Sultan Al-Ghannam Sultan Al-Ghannam 86' D 5.90
10 S. Mané S. Mané 1 👟 M 6.90
11 Marcelo Brozović Marcelo Brozović 89' M 6.70
17 A. Al Khaibari A. Al Khaibari M 6.00
29 Abdulrahman Ghareeb Abdulrahman Ghareeb 1 👟 71' M 6.60
7 Cristiano Ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.20
79 João Félix João Félix 3 ⚽ F 10.00
Bench
53 A. Al Otaibi A. Al Otaibi G
9 Abdullah Al-Hamdan Abdullah Al-Hamdan 9' F 6.90
19 Ali Al-Hassan Ali Al-Hassan 9' M 6.60
16 Mohammed Marran Mohammed Marran F
4 Nader Al Sharari Nader Al Sharari D
12 Nawaf Boushal Nawaf Boushal 19' D 6.50
96 Saad Al-Nasser Saad Al-Nasser 14' D 6.60
83 Salem Alnajdi Salem Alnajdi 14' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
João Félix
João Félix
F · Al-Nassr
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 39 pass
Y. Carrasco
Y. Carrasco
F · Al
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
A. Al Bulayhi
A. Al Bulayhi
D · Al
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
Bento
Bento
G · Al-Nassr
7.30
· 21 pass
Cristiano Ronaldo
Cristiano Ronaldo
F · Al-Nassr
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
V. Sierro
V. Sierro
M · Al
7.20
· 38 pass
Al Shabab Al Shabab — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marcelo Grohe G 90 5.70 — — — 18 18% — 1 —
S. Balobaid D 90 6.00 — — — 26 21% 3 1 —
A. Al Bulayhi D 90 7.30 1 — 1 37 35% 1 — —
W. Hoedt D 90 6.20 — — — 41 35% 4 — —
M. Al Thani D 90 6.30 — — — 30 25% 2 — —
V. Sierro M 78 7.20 — — — 38 30% 1 — —
H. Al Hammami — — — 1 — — — — — —
Y. Adli M 90 6.90 — — — 47 42% 2 — —
J. Brownhill M 90 6.90 — — 1 25 21% 2 — —
A. Azaizeh M 78 6.00 — — 2 15 11% 1 — —
Y. Carrasco F 90 8.20 1 — 2 22 18% 1 — —
A. Al Othman F 12 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
B. Al Sayyali M 12 6.70 — — — 7 6% 2 — —
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bento G 90 7.30 — — — 21 18% — — —
Ayman Yahya D 86 6.20 — — — 39 32% 3 — —
Iñigo Martínez D 90 6.90 — — 2 60 55% — — —
Abdulelah Al-Amri D 90 6.90 — — — 63 55% 3 — —
Sultan Al-Ghannam D 86 5.90 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
S. Mané M 90 6.90 — 1 1 28 22% 1 — —
Marcelo Brozović M 89 6.70 — — 1 59 51% 3 — —
A. Al Khaibari M 90 6.00 — — — 46 45% 1 — —
Abdulrahman Ghareeb M 71 6.60 — 1 1 21 19% 1 — —
Cristiano Ronaldo F 89 7.20 1 — 1 17 14% — — —
João Félix F 90 10.00 3 — 4 39 36% 1 — —
Abdullah Al-Hamdan F 9 6.90 — — — — — — — —
Ali Al-Hassan M 9 6.60 — — — — — — — —
Nawaf Boushal D 19 6.50 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Saad Al-Nasser D 14 6.60 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Salem Alnajdi D 14 6.70 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
The final score was Al Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr.
What did the model predict before Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Al Shabab win, 15% to a draw, and 66% to an Al-Nassr win.