Al Shabab 1–3 Al-Qadisiyah FC — pre-match prediction — Saudi Pro League — August 13, 2026

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Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 1 August 13, 2026 20:00 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh

Al Shabab

#15 · 3 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Al-Qadisiyah FC

#2 · 16 pts

H. Al Hammami (ast. J. Brownhill) 15'

36' (ast. N. Fernandez) M. Abu Al Shamat

80' (ast. M. Al Qahtani) J. Quinones

90'+3 (ast. J. Quinones) T. Al Ammar

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Al Shabab 32%). The final result was Al Shabab 1–3 Al-Qadisiyah FC. In 2 previous meetings, Al Shabab have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.25

Actual xG

2.36

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

M. T. Barry

⚽H. Al Hammami · ast. J. Brownhill

15'

36'

ast. N. Fernandez · M. Abu Al Shamat⚽

A. Al Nashri

45'+2

↕ A. Al Nashri / H. Al Dubais

60'

65'

N. Fernandez

73'

A. Al Salem / M. Retegui ↕

73'

C. Puertas / Otavio ↕

74'

M. Al Qahtani / M. Al Juwayr ↕

74'

Y. Al Shahrani / M. Abu Al Shamat ↕

80'

ast. M. Al Qahtani · J. Quinones⚽

80'

T. Al Ammar / C. Bonsu Baah ↕

↕ Y. Adli / M. Al Shwirekh

84'

↕ K. A. Al Sibyani H. / Y. Al Dosari

84'

↕ M. T. Barry / A. Makki

84'

↕ M. Al Thani / H. Al Khorayef

88'

90'+3

ast. J. Quinones · T. Al Ammar⚽

Pre-match prediction

32.12%

32.44%

35.44%

Al-Qadisiyah ←

we assigned to the actual result (Al-Qadisiyah FC) 35.44% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.48

1.25

-0.23

Al-Qadisiyah

2.88

2.36

-0.52

Al-Qadisiyah FC dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad FC	7	17
2	Al-Qadisiyah FC	7	16
3	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	6	15
4	Al-Nassr	6	15
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	7	12
6	NEOM	6	12
7	Al Kholood	6	12
8	Al-Ettifaq	7	11
9	Al Diriyah	6	10
10	Al-Hazm	7	8
11	Al-Fayha	6	5
12	Al Riyadh	6	5
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	6	4
14	Al Taawon	6	3
15	Al Shabab	6	3
16	Al-Fateh	6	3
17	Al-Faisaly FC	7	3
18	Abha	6	1

Lineups

Al Shabab 4-4-2

Mohammed Al-Mahasneh G 5.30

Hussain Al Sibyani 84' D 6.30

M. Barry 84' D 6.30

T. Jedvaj D 6.60

Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani 88' D 6.30

J. Brownhill 1 👟 M 7.20

Y. Adli 84' M 7.60

Awad Al Nashri 60' M 6.30

Hammam Al-Hammami M 6.30

Y. Carrasco F 6.90

Carlos Junior F 6.20

Bench

Abdulaziz Hadhood F

Ali Makki 12' D 6.70

Hamad Al-Khorayef 8' F 6.30

Hisham Al Dubais 36' F 6.90

Mohammed Al Shwirekh 12' D 6.50

Mubarak Al Rajeh D

Yazeed Al-Dosari 12' D 6.30

Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1-4-2

Ahmed Al Kassar G 6.90

G. Álvarez D 7.20

Nacho 1 👟 D 7.20

Jehad Abdullatif Ahm D 7.00

J. Weigl M 6.30

C. Bonsu Baah 80' M 6.00

Musab Al Juwayr 74' M 6.20

Otávio 73' M 6.30

Mohammed Abu Al Shamat 1 ⚽ 74' M 8.20

M. Retegui 73' F 6.30

J. Quiñones 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.70

Bench

Abdullah Al Salem 23' F 6.50

Ali Hazazi M

Cameron Puertas 23' M 6.30

Haitham Asiri F

Ibrahim Mahnashi M

M. Kudus 22' F 7.20

Mshari Sanyoor G

Turki Al Ammar 1 ⚽ 16' M 7.50

Yasir Al Shahrani 22' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

J. Quiñones

F · Al-Qadisiyah

8.70

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 29 pass

Mohammed Abu Al Shamat

M · Al-Qadisiyah

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 41 pass

Y. Adli

M · Al

7.60

· 53 pass

Turki Al Ammar

M · Al-Qadisiyah

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 8 pass

M. Kudus

F · Al-Qadisiyah

7.20

1 shots · 16 pass

J. Brownhill

M · Al

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 39 pass

Al Shabab — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh	G	96	5.30	—	—	—	24	9%	—	—	—
Hussain Al Sibyani	D	84	6.30	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—
M. Barry	D	84	6.30	—	—	1	36	33%	1	1	—
T. Jedvaj	D	96	6.60	—	—	1	48	38%	1	—	—
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani	D	88	6.30	—	—	—	28	20%	5	—	—
J. Brownhill	M	96	7.20	—	1	1	39	33%	2	—	—
Y. Adli	M	84	7.60	—	—	—	53	49%	1	—	—
Awad Al Nashri	M	60	6.30	—	—	—	23	22%	4	1	—
Hammam Al-Hammami	M	96	6.30	—	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
Y. Carrasco	F	96	6.90	—	—	—	31	24%	1	—	—
Carlos Junior	F	96	6.20	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
Ali Makki	D	12	6.70	—	—	—	4	4%	1	—	—
Hamad Al-Khorayef	F	8	6.30	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—
Hisham Al Dubais	F	36	6.90	—	—	—	7	7%	2	—	—
Mohammed Al Shwirekh	D	12	6.50	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
Yazeed Al-Dosari	D	12	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Al-Qadisiyah FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ahmed Al Kassar	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	16	12%	—	—	—
G. Álvarez	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	49	38%	4	—	—
Nacho	D	96	7.20	—	1	—	46	42%	1	1	—
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm	D	96	7.00	—	—	2	35	33%	2	—	—
J. Weigl	M	96	6.30	—	—	—	48	43%	—	—	—
C. Bonsu Baah	M	80	6.00	—	—	1	31	24%	1	—	—
Musab Al Juwayr	M	74	6.20	—	—	1	45	31%	—	—	—
Otávio	M	73	6.30	—	—	—	31	25%	2	—	—
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat	M	74	8.20	1	—	1	41	28%	4	—	—
M. Retegui	F	73	6.30	—	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
J. Quiñones	F	96	8.70	1	1	2	29	22%	—	—	—
Abdullah Al Salem	F	23	6.50	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
Cameron Puertas	M	23	6.30	—	—	2	3	2%	2	—	—
M. Kudus	F	22	7.20	—	—	1	16	13%	—	—	—
Turki Al Ammar	M	16	7.50	1	—	1	8	6%	—	—	—
Yasir Al Shahrani	D	22	6.60	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?

The final score was Al Shabab 1–3 Al-Qadisiyah FC.

What did the model predict before Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Al Shabab win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Al-Qadisiyah FC win.