Stars League
· Regular Season - 5
October 10, 2026 16:45
Mohamed Abdelfatah Surag
(ast. Jawad El Jemili)
54'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lusail City a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Al Shahaniya 32%). The final result was Al Shahaniya 1–0 Lusail City.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
4
0.94
Actual xG
1.04
5
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
7
Corners
5
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ibrahima Diallo
45'
Francesco Antonucci
/ Moameen Mutasem
45'
⚽Mohamed Abdelfatah Surag
· ast. Jawad El Jemili
54'
Mohamed Abdelfatah Surag
/ Lucas Gabriel Ribeiro Firmo
72'
78'
Khaled Mansour
/
Naif Al-Hadhrami
Moameen Mutasem
81'
83'
Mohamed Khaled
/
Amin Pilali
89'
Hamidreza Firouzi
90'+6
90'
Tiago Geralnik
/
Omid Ebrahimi
90'
Muhammad Taher Khan
/
Khaled Mohammed
90'
Saud Jjbril
/
Mohamed Aiash
Pre-match prediction
32.58%
Al ←
30.38%
X
37.04%
Lusail
we assigned to the actual result (Al Shahaniya)
32.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.94
-0.13
1.89
1.04
-0.85
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Shehab Ellethy
G
Shehab Ellethy
G
32
Khalid Muftah
D
Khalid Muftah
D
5
Muniesa
D
Muniesa
D
22
S. van Beek
D
S. van Beek
D
19
Abdulla Al Sulaiti
D
Abdulla Al Sulaiti
D
6
Álvaro Sanz
M
Álvaro Sanz
M
27
I. Diallo
M
I. Diallo
M
11
Jawad El Jemili
1 👟
M
Jawad El Jemili
1 👟
M
10
F. Antonucci
45'
M
F. Antonucci
45'
M
21
Mohamed Surag
1 ⚽
72'
M
Mohamed Surag
1 ⚽
72'
M
9
A. Traoré
F
A. Traoré
F
Bench
17
Abdulrahman Fahmi Moustafa
F
Abdulrahman Fahmi Moustafa
F
20
Ali Qadry
M
Ali Qadry
M
8
A. Meherzi
M
A. Meherzi
M
2
A. Mohamed
D
A. Mohamed
D
88
Moameen Mutasem
45'
M
Moameen Mutasem
45'
M
16
Mohamed Abdallah
G
Mohamed Abdallah
G
23
Mohamed Saeed
G
Mohamed Saeed
G
4
Mohamed Sayyar
M
Mohamed Sayyar
M
77
Yousef Hani Ballan
D
Yousef Hani Ballan
D
31
Z. Šarlija
D
Z. Šarlija
D
1
A. Shakouri
G
A. Shakouri
G
66
A. Nemati
D
A. Nemati
D
27
M. Aiash
89'
D
M. Aiash
89'
D
4
F. Russo
D
F. Russo
D
2
A. Pilali
83'
D
A. Pilali
83'
D
6
O. Ebrahimi
89'
M
O. Ebrahimi
89'
M
11
H. Firouzi
M
H. Firouzi
M
8
Khaled Mohammed
89'
M
Khaled Mohammed
89'
M
20
Naif Al Hadhrami
78'
M
Naif Al Hadhrami
78'
M
7
F. Zavoshi
M
F. Zavoshi
M
19
Rodrigo
F
Rodrigo
F
Bench
5
A. Al Karatly
M
A. Al Karatly
M
15
Abdulhadi Kasr Al-Oun
M
Abdulhadi Kasr Al-Oun
M
3
Ali Malolah
D
Ali Malolah
D
30
H. Kamal
D
H. Kamal
D
14
K. Mansour
12'
M
K. Mansour
12'
M
77
Mohamed Al Ashwal
G
Mohamed Al Ashwal
G
70
Mohamed Khaled
7'
F
Mohamed Khaled
7'
F
45
Muhammad Taher Khan
1'
M
Muhammad Taher Khan
1'
M
10
S. Jjbril
1'
M
S. Jjbril
1'
M
22
T. Geralnik
1'
M
T. Geralnik
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Shehab Ellethy
G · Al
8.42
· 23 pass
Mohamed Surag
M · Al
8.15
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Jawad El Jemili
M · Al
7.48
1 👟
3 shots
· 17 pass
Muniesa
D · Al
7.43
· 46 pass
S. van Beek
D · Al
7.20
· 55 pass
F. Antonucci
M · Al
7.20
2 shots
· 32 pass
Al Shahaniya — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shehab Ellethy | G | 90 | 8.42 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Khalid Muftah | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Muniesa | D | 90 | 7.43 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| S. van Beek | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Abdulla Al Sulaiti | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Sanz | M | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Diallo | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jawad El Jemili | M | 90 | 7.48 | — | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Antonucci | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Surag | M | 72 | 8.15 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Traoré | F | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Moameen Mutasem | M | 45 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 3 | 1 | — |
Lusail City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shakouri | G | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Nemati | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aiash | D | 89 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Russo | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 74 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pilali | D | 83 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| O. Ebrahimi | M | 89 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Firouzi | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Khaled Mohammed | M | 89 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Naif Al Hadhrami | M | 78 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Zavoshi | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo | F | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mansour | M | 12 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Khaled | F | 7 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Muhammad Taher Khan | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Jjbril | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Geralnik | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City?
The final score was Al Shahaniya 1–0 Lusail City.
What did the model predict before Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Al Shahaniya win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Lusail City win.