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Al Shamal - Al-Ahli Jeddah

AFC Champions League November 23, 2026 17:00
Al Shamal
#6 · 5 pts
vs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
#3 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.52%
Win
Al Shamal
21.7%
Draw
55.77%
Win
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1.04
Expected xG
2.35
Most likely outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.77%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (9.76%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 22%
2 56%
Double Chance
1X 44%
X2 78%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Ahli Jeddah a 55% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Al Shamal. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Shamal and 2.3 for Al-Ahli Jeddah (total 3.4), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.76% probability.

Season Stats

Al Shamal
1W 2D 0L
Al-Ahli Jeddah
11W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.2
0.7
Conceded
0.9
3.3
Shots OT
4.7
3.3
Corners
3.7
46%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Al Shamal
1W 1D 0L · at home
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4W 2D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.3
1.0
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
67%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
83%
50%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Al Shamal Al-Ahli Jeddah →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 7.9% 9.3% 7.3% 4.3% 2.0%
1 3.5% 8.2% 9.7% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1%
2 1.8% 4.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
3 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Al Shamal Al Shamal
W Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–1
D Tractor Sazi 0–0
D Al-Ittihad FC 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
W Al-Gharafa 2–1
W Al-Wasl FC 1–3
D Pakhtakor 1–1
W Machida Zelvia 1–0
W Vissel Kobe 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Al Shamal Al Shamal
Attack
36
Defence
53
Form
40
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
Attack
61
Defence
69
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al Ain Al Ain 3 9
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7
4 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 3 6
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6
6 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3 5
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5
8 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 3 4
9 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 2 3
10 Neftchi Neftchi 3 3
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3
12 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 3 2
13 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 3 1
14 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3 1
15 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 3 0
16 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 2 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al Shamal Al-Ahli Jeddah
Current #6 #3
→ Al Shamal #3 #4
→ Draw #5 #3
→ Al-Ahli Jeddah #6 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Shamal vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The model gives Al Shamal a 22% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 55% for an Al-Ahli Jeddah win.
How many goals are expected in Al Shamal vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Expected goals: Al Shamal 1.0, Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.3 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Al Shamal vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.76%.