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Al Shamal - Al-Ittihad FC

AFC Champions League September 14, 2026 18:00
Al Shamal
#10 · 0 pts
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
#15 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.19%
Win
Al Shamal
29.64%
Draw
36.17%
Win
Al-Ittihad FC
2.13
Expected xG
2.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.3%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 30%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 66%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al-Ittihad FC a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Al Shamal. Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Shamal and 2.4 for Al-Ittihad FC (total 4.5), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.3% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Al Shamal Al-Ittihad FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.3% 5.5% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.8% 7.0% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6%
3 1.7% 4.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%

Recent form

Al Shamal Al Shamal
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
W Al-Jazira 1–4
L Machida Zelvia 1–0
W Al Wahda FC 1–0
W Al Sadd 1–4
W Al-Gharafa 7–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Al Shamal Al Shamal
Attack
51
Defence
56
Form
49
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
Attack
55
Defence
67
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

West Region

# Team G Pts
1 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 0 0
2 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 0 0
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 0
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 0 0
5 Al Ain Al Ain 0 0
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0 0
7 Al-Wasl FC Al-Wasl FC 0 0
8 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0 0
9 Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa 0 0
10 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0 0
11 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC 0 0
12 Tractor Sazi Tractor Sazi 0 0
13 Neftchi Neftchi 0 0
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0 0
15 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 0 0
16 Pakhtakor Pakhtakor 0 0

What's at stake · West Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al Shamal Al-Ittihad FC
Current #10 #15
→ Al Shamal #1 #15
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Al-Ittihad FC #11 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Shamal vs Al-Ittihad FC?
The model gives Al Shamal a 34% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Al-Ittihad FC win.
How many goals are expected in Al Shamal vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Expected goals: Al Shamal 2.1, Al-Ittihad FC 2.4 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Al Shamal vs Al-Ittihad FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.3%.