Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 32
May 11, 2026 20:00
A. Fulgini
55'
17'
(ast. M. Dams)
I. Toney
79'
(ast. R. Mahrez)
Ibanez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 47% win probability (draw 21%, Al Taawon 31%). The final result was Al Taawon 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah. In 1 previous meetings, Al Taawon have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
0.88
Actual xG
0.84
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
1
9
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
ast. M. Dams ·
I. Toney⚽
33'
E. Millot
46'
Z. Al Johani
/
V. Atangana
M. Al Dossari
50'
⚽A. Fulgini
55'
58'
S. Abu Al Shamat
60'
Z. Al Johani
61'
Matheus Goncalves
/
S. Abu Al Shamat
61'
R. Hamidou
/
A. Majrashi
Andrei Girotto
/ M. Al Mufarrij
70'
A. El Mahdioui
78'
79'
ast. R. Mahrez ·
Ibanez⚽
M. Al Dossari
/ Biel
83'
Flavio
/ S. Rajab
89'
90'
M. Sulaiman
/
R. Mahrez
Pre-match prediction
31.03%
Al
21.97%
X
47.0%
Al-Ahli ←
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah)
47.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
0.88
-0.67
1.93
0.84
-1.09
xG dominance was balanced (0.88 – 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mailson
G
Mailson
G
55
Mohammed Al Dossari
83'
D
Mohammed Al Dossari
83'
D
87
Qasim Lajami
D
Qasim Lajami
D
3
Andrei Girotto
70'
D
Andrei Girotto
70'
D
88
M. Petkov
M
M. Petkov
M
8
Flávio
88'
M
Flávio
88'
M
18
Ashraf El Mahdioui
M
Ashraf El Mahdioui
M
5
Mohammed Mahzari
M
Mohammed Mahzari
M
11
Angelo Fulgini
1 ⚽
F
Angelo Fulgini
1 ⚽
F
7
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
F
Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
F
10
Roger Martínez
F
Roger Martínez
F
Bench
77
Abduleallah Hawsawi
M
Abduleallah Hawsawi
M
13
Abdulquddus Atiah
G
Abdulquddus Atiah
G
29
Ahmed Bahusayn
M
Ahmed Bahusayn
M
66
Bassam Al-Hurayji
D
Bassam Al-Hurayji
D
20
Biel
13'
F
Biel
13'
F
2
Meshal Alaeli
D
Meshal Alaeli
D
15
Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
F
Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
F
32
Muteb Al-Mufarrij
26'
D
Muteb Al-Mufarrij
26'
D
74
Saif Rashad Mohamed
8'
F
Saif Rashad Mohamed
8'
F
1
A. Al Sanbi
G
A. Al Sanbi
G
32
Matteo Dams
1 👟
D
Matteo Dams
1 👟
D
3
Ibanez
1 ⚽
D
Ibanez
1 ⚽
D
28
M. Demiral
D
M. Demiral
D
27
A. Majrashi
61'
D
A. Majrashi
61'
D
10
E. Millot
M
E. Millot
M
6
V. Atangana
45'
M
V. Atangana
45'
M
9
F. Al Buraikan
M
F. Al Buraikan
M
47
S. Abu Al Shamat
61'
M
S. Abu Al Shamat
61'
M
7
R. Mahrez
1 👟
M
R. Mahrez
1 👟
M
17
I. Toney
1 ⚽
F
I. Toney
1 ⚽
F
Bench
62
Abdullah Abdo
G
Abdullah Abdo
G
14
E. Al Muwallad
M
E. Al Muwallad
M
29
M. Abdulrahman
D
M. Abdulrahman
D
20
Matheus Gonçalves
35'
F
Matheus Gonçalves
35'
F
5
M. Sulaiman
6'
D
M. Sulaiman
6'
D
46
Rayan Hamed
35'
D
Rayan Hamed
35'
D
49
S. Abdullah
F
S. Abdullah
F
60
Y. Madani
D
Y. Madani
D
30
Z. Al Johani
51'
M
Z. Al Johani
51'
M
Best on the pitch
Angelo Fulgini
F · Al
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 43 pass
Ibanez
D · Al-Ahli
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 51 pass
I. Toney
F · Al-Ahli
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Qasim Lajami
D · Al
7.20
· 42 pass
Ashraf El Mahdioui
M · Al
7.20
3 shots
· 65 pass
Mohammed Mahzari
M · Al
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Al Taawon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mailson | G | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Dossari | D | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Qasim Lajami | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Andrei Girotto | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Petkov | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Flávio | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Ashraf El Mahdioui | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 65 | 63% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Mahzari | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Angelo Fulgini | F | 96 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Biel | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Muteb Al-Mufarrij | D | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Saif Rashad Mohamed | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Al Sanbi | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Dams | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Ibanez | D | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Majrashi | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Millot | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Atangana | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Al Buraikan | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Abu Al Shamat | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Mahrez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Gonçalves | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Sulaiman | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Hamed | D | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Z. Al Johani | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The final score was Al Taawon 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
What did the model predict before Al Taawon vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Al Taawon win, 21% to a draw, and 47% to an Al-Ahli Jeddah win.