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Al Taawon - Al-Nahda

AFC Champions League Two November 25, 2026 19:15
#1 · 4 pts
vs
#4 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.06%
Win
Al Taawon
35.49%
Draw
32.45%
Win
Al-Nahda
0.52
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.18%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 35%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 68%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Taawon a 32% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 32% for Al-Nahda. Expected goals are 0.5 for Al Taawon and 0.6 for Al-Nahda (total 1.1), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.18% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al Taawon have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al-Nahda.

Season Stats

Al Taawon
1W 1D 0L
Al-Nahda
0W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.5
1.0
Conceded
1.5
3.0
Shots OT
2.0
4.0
Corners
5.0
40%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Al Taawon Al-Nahda →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 33.9% 19.1% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% —
1 17.5% 9.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 4.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

W Al-Rayyan SC 2–1
D Al-Nahda 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
L Al Faisaly 2–0
D Al Taawon 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Al Taawon Al Taawon
Attack
23
Defence
51
Form
40
Al-Nahda Al-Nahda
Attack
25
Defence
60
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Al Taawon
1
Draw
0
Al-Nahda
16 Sep 2026 AFC Champions League Two 1–1

Group C

# Team G Pts
1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2 4
2 Al-Rayyan SC Al-Rayyan SC 2 3
3 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2 3
4 Al-Nahda Al-Nahda 2 1

What's at stake · Group C

Top 2 advance to the next round

Al Taawon Al-Nahda
Current #1 #4
→ Al Taawon #1 #4
→ Draw #1 #4
→ Al-Nahda #1 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al-Nahda?
The model gives Al Taawon a 32% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 32% for an Al-Nahda win.
How many goals are expected in Al Taawon vs Al-Nahda?
Expected goals: Al Taawon 0.5, Al-Nahda 0.6 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Al Taawon vs Al-Nahda?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.18%.