The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alanyaspor a 36% win probability (draw 38%, Kocaelispor 25%). The final result was Alanyaspor 5–0 Kocaelispor. In 2 previous meetings, Alanyaspor have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Kocaelispor.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
1
0.69
Actual xG
0.21
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
36.26%
Alanyaspor ←
38.25%
X
25.49%
Kocaelispor
we assigned to the actual result (Alanyaspor)
36.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.69
-0.21
0.87
0.21
-0.66
Alanyaspor dominated by xG (0.69 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Alanyaspor 5–0 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Alanyaspor win, 38% to a draw, and 25% to an Kocaelispor win.