Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 9
October 23, 2026 19:00
Ruan
(ast. E. Keskin)
52'
27'
(ast. R. Rivas)
B. Kutlu
42'
(ast. F. Aye)
M. Baku
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alanyaspor a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Kocaelispor 31%). The final result was Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor. In 2 previous meetings, Alanyaspor have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Kocaelispor.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
0.27
Actual xG
1.54
3
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
7
11
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
27'
ast. R. Rivas ·
B. Kutlu⚽
42'
ast. F. Aye ·
M. Baku⚽
45'+1
E. Ortakaya
G. Makouta
/ Maestro
46'
I. Hagi
/ E. Keskin
46'
A. Usluoglu
/ Bikoue
46'
⚽Ruan
· ast. E. Keskin
52'
F. Aksoy
53'
61'
D. Agyei
/
G. Sousa
67'
M. Cinan
/
R. Rivas
67'
M. Altunbas
/
M. Baku
B. Gezek
/ I. Celik
70'
F. Aksoy
/ O. Ben Ali
77'
81'
B. Kutlu
82'
T. Gulliksen
/
F. Aye
82'
M. Maglica
/
B. Kutlu
I. Celik
90'+2
90'+3
Show
F. Aliti
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.6%
Alanyaspor
29.93%
X
31.47%
Kocaelispor ←
we assigned to the actual result (Kocaelispor)
31.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.27
-0.96
1.05
1.54
+0.49
Kocaelispor dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
48
Paulo Victor
86'
G
Paulo Victor
86'
G
20
Fatih Aksoy
76'
D
Fatih Aksoy
76'
D
5
Fidan Aliti
86'
D
Fidan Aliti
86'
D
3
Nuno Lima
86'
D
Nuno Lima
86'
D
11
Ruan Pereira Duarte
1 ⚽
86'
M
Ruan Pereira Duarte
1 ⚽
86'
M
55
Baran Ali Gezek
70'
M
Baran Ali Gezek
70'
M
42
Gaius Makouta
45'
M
Gaius Makouta
45'
M
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
86'
M
Florent Hadergjonaj
86'
M
7
Ibrahim Kaya
86'
F
Ibrahim Kaya
86'
F
10
Ianis Hagi
45'
F
Ianis Hagi
45'
F
17
Arda Usluoğlu
45'
F
Arda Usluoğlu
45'
F
Bench
4
Bedirhan Özyurt
D
Bedirhan Özyurt
D
8
Enes Keskin
1 👟
41'
M
Enes Keskin
1 👟
41'
M
16
Hwang Ui-Jo
F
Hwang Ui-Jo
F
19
Iván Cédric
41'
F
Iván Cédric
41'
F
26
İzzet Çelik
16'
M
İzzet Çelik
16'
M
58
Maestro
41'
M
Maestro
41'
M
23
Mert Furkan Bayram
G
Mert Furkan Bayram
G
12
Meschak Elia
F
Meschak Elia
F
9
Omar Ben Ali
10'
F
Omar Ben Ali
10'
F
88
Yusuf Özdemir
M
Yusuf Özdemir
M
83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
86'
G
Serhat Öztaşdelen
86'
G
99
Rigoberto Rivas
1 👟
67'
D
Rigoberto Rivas
1 👟
67'
D
14
Show
86'
D
Show
86'
D
5
Emir Ortakaya
86'
D
Emir Ortakaya
86'
D
2
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel
86'
D
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel
86'
D
22
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
86'
D
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
86'
D
32
Makana Baku
1 ⚽
67'
M
Makana Baku
1 ⚽
67'
M
20
Mahamadou Susoho
86'
M
Mahamadou Susoho
86'
M
10
B. Kutlu
1 ⚽
82'
M
B. Kutlu
1 ⚽
82'
M
11
G. Sousa
61'
M
G. Sousa
61'
M
97
Florian Ayé
1 👟
82'
F
Florian Ayé
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
7
Dan Agyei
25'
F
Dan Agyei
25'
F
27
Ege Bilim
M
Ege Bilim
M
6
Matej Maglica
4'
D
Matej Maglica
4'
D
26
Metehan Altunbaş
19'
F
Metehan Altunbaş
19'
F
3
Muharrem Cinan
19'
D
Muharrem Cinan
19'
D
23
Onurcan Piri
G
Onurcan Piri
G
41
Onur Öztonga
D
Onur Öztonga
D
75
Tayfur Bingöl
D
Tayfur Bingöl
D
8
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
4'
M
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
4'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Kutlu
M · Kocaelispor
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
Ruan Pereira Duarte
M · Alanyaspor
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 41 pass
Fidan Aliti
D · Alanyaspor
7.50
· 63 pass
Makana Baku
M · Kocaelispor
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel
D · Kocaelispor
7.20
· 46 pass
G. Sousa
M · Kocaelispor
6.90
· 27 pass
Alanyaspor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Victor | G | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Fatih Aksoy | D | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Fidan Aliti | D | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Lima | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruan Pereira Duarte | M | 86 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Baran Ali Gezek | M | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Gaius Makouta | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Florent Hadergjonaj | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Kaya | F | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ianis Hagi | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Arda Usluoğlu | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Enes Keskin | M | 41 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Cédric | F | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| İzzet Çelik | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Maestro | M | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Omar Ben Ali | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Kocaelispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | G | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rigoberto Rivas | D | 67 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Show | D | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Emir Ortakaya | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Makana Baku | M | 67 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Kutlu | M | 82 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 52 | 44% | 5 | 1 | — |
| G. Sousa | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Florian Ayé | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Matej Maglica | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Metehan Altunbaş | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Muharrem Cinan | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The final score was Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor.
What did the model predict before Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Alanyaspor win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Kocaelispor win.