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#4 · 0 pts
2 – 4
Final score
#1 · 0 pts
A. Blanco (ast. A. Perez) 8'
N. Tenaglia (ast. A. Rebbach) 68'
46' (ast. N. Williams) R. Navarro
74' (ast. Y. Berchiche) O. Sancet
83' (ast. G. Guruzeta) N. Williams
87' (ast. G. Guruzeta) N. Williams
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Athletic Club 23%). The final result was Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, Alaves have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Athletic Club.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.49
Actual xG
0.92
0
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
26
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Blanco · ast. A. Perez
8'
T. Martinez
28'
41'
E. Valverde
46'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta / M. Jauregizar
46'
R. Navarro / I. Williams
46'
O. Sancet / U. Gomez
46'
ast. N. Williams · R. Navarro
P. Ibanez
49'
A. Blanco
59'
59'
G. Guruzeta
D. Suarez / J. Guridi
62'
P. Ibanez / A. Guevara
62'
N. Tenaglia · ast. A. Rebbach
68'
I. Diabate / C. Alena
73'
73'
J. Areso / A. Gorosabel
74'
ast. Y. Berchiche · O. Sancet
76'
N. Williams
83'
ast. G. Guruzeta · N. Williams
84'
M. Jauregizar
87'
ast. G. Guruzeta · N. Williams
89'
A. Boiro / N. Williams
C. Alena
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.54%
Alaves
24.33%
X
23.12%
Athletic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club) 23.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alaves
1.58
0.49
-1.09
Athletic
0.86
0.92
+0.06
Athletic Club dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0 0
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0 0
3 Osasuna Osasuna 0 0
4 Alaves Alaves 0 0
5 Elche Elche 0 0
6 Barcelona Barcelona 0 0
7 Getafe Getafe 0 0
8 Levante Levante 0 0
9 Malaga Malaga 0 0
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0 0
11 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
12 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0 0
13 Espanyol Espanyol 0 0
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0 0
15 Real Betis Real Betis 0 0
16 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0 0
17 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
18 Sevilla Sevilla 0 0
19 Valencia Valencia 0 0
20 Villarreal Villarreal 0 0
Lineups
Alaves Alaves 5-3-2
1 Antonio Sivera Antonio Sivera G 5.90
21 Abderrahman Rebbach Abderrahman Rebbach 1 👟 D 6.30
24 Victor Parada Victor Parada D 6.00
14 Nahuel Tenaglia Nahuel Tenaglia 1 ⚽ D 7.50
17 Jonny Otto Jonny Otto D 6.00
7 Ángel Pérez Ángel Pérez 1 👟 D 6.20
4 Denis Suárez Denis Suárez 62' M 6.20
8 Antonio Blanco Antonio Blanco 1 ⚽ M 7.60
19 Pablo Ibáñez Pablo Ibáñez 62' M 6.20
22 Ibrahim Diabaté Ibrahim Diabaté 73' F 6.20
11 Toni Martínez Toni Martínez F 6.70
Bench
10 Carles Aleñá Carles Aleñá 17' M 6.30
18 Jon Guridi Jon Guridi 28' M 6.00
3 Yusi Yusi D
Athletic Club Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
17 Yuri Berchiche Yuri Berchiche 1 👟 D 6.60
14 Aymeric Laporte Aymeric Laporte D 6.60
5 Yeray Álvarez Yeray Álvarez D 6.70
2 Andoni Gorosabel Andoni Gorosabel 73' D 6.60
18 Mikel Jauregizar Mikel Jauregizar 45' M 6.20
30 Alejandro Rego Mora Alejandro Rego Mora M 7.30
10 Nico Williams Nico Williams 2 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 8.90
20 Unai Gómez Unai Gómez 45' M 6.90
9 Iñaki Williams Iñaki Williams 45' M 6.20
11 Gorka Guruzeta Gorka Guruzeta 2 👟 F 6.50
Bench
19 Adama Boiro Adama Boiro 10' D 6.70
4 Aitor Paredes Aitor Paredes D
7 Álex Berenguer Álex Berenguer F
3 Dani Vivian Dani Vivian D
6 Mikel Vesga Mikel Vesga M
22 Nico Serrano Nico Serrano F
8 Oihan Sancet Oihan Sancet 1 ⚽ 45' M 8.20
23 Robert Navarro Robert Navarro 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.30
16 Ruíz de Galarreta Ruíz de Galarreta 45' M 7.00
Best on the pitch
Nico Williams
Nico Williams
M · Athletic
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 25 pass
Oihan Sancet
Oihan Sancet
M · Athletic
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco
M · Alaves
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia
D · Alaves
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Robert Navarro
Robert Navarro
M · Athletic
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Alejandro Rego Mora
Alejandro Rego Mora
M · Athletic
7.30
· 38 pass
Alaves Alaves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antonio Sivera G 90 5.90 31 16%
Abderrahman Rebbach D 90 6.30 1 34 26% 1
Victor Parada D 90 6.00 44 39% 2
Nahuel Tenaglia D 90 7.50 1 1 42 33% 4
Jonny Otto D 90 6.00 57 49% 4
Ángel Pérez D 90 6.20 1 38 31%
Denis Suárez M 62 6.20 20 15% 1
Antonio Blanco M 90 7.60 1 1 46 39% 2 1
Pablo Ibáñez M 62 6.20 21 17% 1
Ibrahim Diabaté F 73 6.20 1 11 8%
Toni Martínez F 90 6.70 1 20 10% 1
Carles Aleñá M 17 6.30 7 7% 1 1
Jon Guridi M 28 6.00 1 7 6%
Athletic Club Athletic Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 17 13%
Yuri Berchiche D 90 6.60 1 1 49 43% 3
Aymeric Laporte D 90 6.60 63 55% 1
Yeray Álvarez D 90 6.70 48 43%
Andoni Gorosabel D 73 6.60 31 28% 4
Mikel Jauregizar M 45 6.20 26 15% 2 1
Alejandro Rego Mora M 90 7.30 38 29% 5
Nico Williams M 89 8.90 2 1 3 25 21% 1
Unai Gómez M 45 6.90 16 13% 2
Iñaki Williams M 45 6.20 1 11 6%
Gorka Guruzeta F 90 6.50 2 1 27 21% 3 1
Adama Boiro D 10 6.70 1 1%
Oihan Sancet M 45 8.20 1 1 19 19% 2
Robert Navarro M 45 7.30 1 1 7 4% 1
Ruíz de Galarreta M 45 7.00 20 16% 3
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Alaves win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Athletic Club win.