A. Blanco
(ast. A. Perez)
8'
N. Tenaglia
(ast. A. Rebbach)
68'
46'
(ast. N. Williams)
R. Navarro
74'
(ast. Y. Berchiche)
O. Sancet
83'
(ast. G. Guruzeta)
N. Williams
87'
(ast. G. Guruzeta)
N. Williams
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Athletic Club 23%). The final result was Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club. In 2 previous meetings, Alaves have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Athletic Club.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
0.49
Actual xG
0.92
0
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
26
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽A. Blanco
· ast. A. Perez
8'
T. Martinez
28'
41'
E. Valverde
46'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta
/
M. Jauregizar
46'
R. Navarro
/
I. Williams
46'
O. Sancet
/
U. Gomez
46'
ast. N. Williams ·
R. Navarro⚽
P. Ibanez
49'
A. Blanco
59'
59'
G. Guruzeta
D. Suarez
/ J. Guridi
62'
P. Ibanez
/ A. Guevara
62'
⚽N. Tenaglia
· ast. A. Rebbach
68'
I. Diabate
/ C. Alena
73'
73'
J. Areso
/
A. Gorosabel
74'
ast. Y. Berchiche ·
O. Sancet⚽
76'
N. Williams
83'
ast. G. Guruzeta ·
N. Williams⚽
84'
M. Jauregizar
87'
ast. G. Guruzeta ·
N. Williams⚽
89'
A. Boiro
/
N. Williams
C. Alena
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.54%
Alaves
24.33%
X
23.12%
Athletic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
23.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
0.49
-1.09
0.86
0.92
+0.06
Athletic Club dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sivera
G
Sivera
G
21
A. Rebbach
1 👟
D
A. Rebbach
1 👟
D
24
Víctor Parada
D
Víctor Parada
D
14
N. Tenaglia
1 ⚽
D
N. Tenaglia
1 ⚽
D
17
Jonny
D
Jonny
D
7
Angel Pérez
1 👟
D
Angel Pérez
1 👟
D
4
Denis Suárez
62'
M
Denis Suárez
62'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
1 ⚽
M
Antonio Blanco
1 ⚽
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
62'
M
Pablo Ibáñez
62'
M
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
73'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
73'
F
11
Toni Martínez
F
Toni Martínez
F
Bench
10
Carles Aleñá
17'
M
Carles Aleñá
17'
M
18
Jon Guridi
28'
M
Jon Guridi
28'
M
3
Yusi
D
Yusi
D
1
G
17
Yuri
1 👟
D
Yuri
1 👟
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
5
Yeray
D
Yeray
D
2
Gorosabel
73'
D
Gorosabel
73'
D
18
Mikel Jauregizar
45'
M
Mikel Jauregizar
45'
M
30
Alejandro Rego
M
Alejandro Rego
M
10
Nico Williams
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
Nico Williams
2 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
20
Unai Gómez
45'
M
Unai Gómez
45'
M
9
I. Williams
45'
M
I. Williams
45'
M
11
Gorka Guruzeta
2 👟
F
Gorka Guruzeta
2 👟
F
Bench
19
A. Boiro
10'
D
A. Boiro
10'
D
4
Aitor Paredes
D
Aitor Paredes
D
7
Álex Berenguer
F
Álex Berenguer
F
3
Dani Vivian
D
Dani Vivian
D
6
Mikel Vesga
M
Mikel Vesga
M
22
Nico Serrano
F
Nico Serrano
F
8
Oihan Sancet
1 ⚽
45'
M
Oihan Sancet
1 ⚽
45'
M
23
Robert Navarro
1 ⚽
45'
M
Robert Navarro
1 ⚽
45'
M
16
Ruíz de Galarreta
45'
M
Ruíz de Galarreta
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Nico Williams
M · Athletic
8.90
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 25 pass
Oihan Sancet
M · Athletic
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Antonio Blanco
M · Alaves
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
N. Tenaglia
D · Alaves
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 42 pass
Robert Navarro
M · Athletic
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Alejandro Rego
M · Athletic
7.30
· 38 pass
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivera | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Rebbach | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Parada | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Tenaglia | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Jonny | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Angel Pérez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Yuri | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeray | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Gorosabel | D | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | M | 89 | 8.90 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Williams | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | 2 | 1 | 27 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Boiro | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Alaves win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Athletic Club win.