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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 13, 2026 21:30
Alaves
#16 · 40 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Barcelona
#1 · 91 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Barcelona, result Alaves vince
I. Diabate (ast. A. Blanco) 45'+1

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Alaves 23%). The final result was Alaves 1–0 Barcelona. In 1 previous meetings, Alaves have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Barcelona.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
0
0.66
Actual xG
0.59
0
Saves
3
23%
Possession
77%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽I. Diabate · ast. A. Blanco
45'+1
46'
M. Rashford
62'
F. Torres / R. Bardghji ↕
62'
X. Espart / P. Cubarsi ↕
62'
Pedri / M. Casado ↕
↕ I. Diabate / A. Manas
64'
↕ D. Suarez / P. Ibanez
64'
79'
J. Cancelo / A. Balde ↕
↕ V. Parada / C. Protesoni
80'
A. Rebbach
81'
87'
T. Marques / M. Bernal ↕
89'
J. Cancelo
Pre-match prediction
23.34%
Alaves ←
20.77%
X
55.89%
Barcelona
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Alaves) 23.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alaves
1.26
0.66
-0.6
Barcelona
2.10
0.59
-1.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Alaves Alaves 5-3-2
1 Antonio Sivera Antonio Sivera G 6.90
21 Abderrahman Rebbach Abderrahman Rebbach D 7.20
24 Victor Parada Victor Parada 80' D 6.90
16 Ville Koski Ville Koski D 7.30
14 Nahuel Tenaglia Nahuel Tenaglia D 7.20
7 Ángel Pérez Ángel Pérez D 6.90
4 Denis Suárez Denis Suárez 64' M 6.70
8 Antonio Blanco Antonio Blanco 1 👟 M 6.90
18 Jon Guridi Jon Guridi M 7.30
22 Ibrahim Diabaté Ibrahim Diabaté 1 ⚽ 64' F 7.20
11 Toni Martínez Toni Martínez F 6.50
Bench
34 Aitor Mañas Aitor Mañas 26' F 6.30
6 Ander Guevara Ander Guevara M
20 Calebe Gonçalves Calebe Gonçalves M
10 Carles Aleñá Carles Aleñá M
23 Carlos Benavídez Carlos Benavídez 10' M 6.60
27 Egoitz Muñoz Egoitz Muñoz D
17 Jonny Otto Jonny Otto D
5 Jon Pacheco Jon Pacheco D
9 Mariano Díaz Mariano Díaz F
19 Pablo Ibáñez Pablo Ibáñez 26' M 6.90
13 Raúl Fernández Raúl Fernández G
3 Youssef Enriquez Youssef Enriquez D
Barcelona Barcelona 4-2-3-1
25 Wojciech Szczęsny Wojciech Szczęsny G 6.90
3 Alejandro Balde Alejandro Balde 79' D 6.70
36 Álvaro Cortés Álvaro Cortés D 7.70
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes Pau Cubarsí Paredes 62' D 6.90
23 J. Koundé J. Koundé D 7.30
22 Marc Bernal Marc Bernal 87' M 7.20
17 Marc Casadó Marc Casadó 62' M 6.70
14 M. Rashford M. Rashford M 6.30
20 Dani Olmo Dani Olmo M 6.30
19 R. Bardghji R. Bardghji 62' M 6.30
9 R. Lewandowski R. Lewandowski F 6.30
Bench
15 Andreas Christensen Andreas Christensen D
33 Eder Aller Eder Aller G
24 Eric García Eric García D
7 Ferran Torres Ferran Torres 28' F 6.30
18 Gerard Martín Gerard Martín D
13 Joan García Joan García G
2 João Cancelo João Cancelo 11' D 6.70
6 Pablo Gavi Pablo Gavi M
8 Pedri Pedri 28' M 7.20
4 Ronald Araújo Ronald Araújo D
43 Tomás Marqués Tomás Marqués 3' M
42 Xavi Espart Xavi Espart 28' D 7.30
Best on the pitch
Álvaro Cortés
Álvaro Cortés
D · Barcelona
7.70
· 93 pass
Xavi Espart
Xavi Espart
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 29 pass
Ville Koski
Ville Koski
D · Alaves
7.30
· 10 pass
J. Koundé
J. Koundé
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 85 pass
Jon Guridi
Jon Guridi
M · Alaves
7.30
· 15 pass
Abderrahman Rebbach
Abderrahman Rebbach
D · Alaves
7.20
1 shots · 15 pass
Alaves Alaves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Antonio Sivera G 90 6.90 — — — 36 14% — — —
Abderrahman Rebbach D 90 7.20 — — 1 15 8% 4 1 —
Victor Parada D 80 6.90 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Ville Koski D 90 7.30 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
Nahuel Tenaglia D 90 7.20 — — 1 15 10% 3 — —
Ángel Pérez D 90 6.90 — — — 22 12% — — —
Denis Suárez M 64 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
Antonio Blanco M 90 6.90 — 1 — 24 16% — — —
Jon Guridi M 90 7.30 — — — 15 13% 2 — —
Ibrahim Diabaté F 64 7.20 1 — 2 4 3% 1 — —
Toni Martínez F 90 6.50 — — 2 25 10% 1 — —
Aitor Mañas F 26 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Carlos Benavídez M 10 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Pablo Ibáñez M 26 6.90 — — — — — 2 — —
Barcelona Barcelona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Wojciech Szczęsny G 90 6.90 — — — 18 16% — — —
Alejandro Balde D 79 6.70 — — — 52 47% 2 — —
Álvaro Cortés D 90 7.70 — — — 93 88% 1 — —
Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 62 6.90 — — — 59 57% 2 — —
J. Koundé D 90 7.30 — — — 85 82% — — —
Marc Bernal M 87 7.20 — — 1 68 60% 3 — —
Marc Casadó M 62 6.70 — — — 59 51% 1 — —
M. Rashford M 90 6.30 — — 2 43 37% — 1 —
Dani Olmo M 90 6.30 — — 1 55 46% — — —
R. Bardghji M 62 6.30 — — 1 23 21% — — —
R. Lewandowski F 90 6.30 — — — 18 12% — — —
Ferran Torres F 28 6.30 — — — 12 7% — — —
João Cancelo D 11 6.70 — — — 12 11% — 1 —
Pedri M 28 7.20 — — — 44 39% — — —
Tomás Marqués M 3 — — — — 6 4% — — —
Xavi Espart D 28 7.30 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Barcelona?
The final score was Alaves 1–0 Barcelona.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Barcelona?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Alaves win, 20% to a draw, and 55% to an Barcelona win.