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Alaves - Castellón

Friendlies Clubs July 31, 2026 14:00
Alaves
vs
Castellón
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.31%
Win
Alaves
32.76%
Draw
34.92%
Win
Castellón
0.71
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.54%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 68%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Castellón a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Alaves. Expected goals are 0.7 for Alaves and 1.2 for Castellón (total 1.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.54% probability.

Season Stats

Alaves
1W 1D 0L
Castellón
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.3
0.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Alaves
0W 1D 0L · at home
Castellón
1W 1D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.5
1.0
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alaves Castellón →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7% 17.7% 10.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.5% 12.6% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Alaves Alaves
W Girona 0–1
D Eibar 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Castellón Castellón
D Girona 3–3
W Valencia 1–2
W Sabadell 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Alaves Alaves
Attack
25
Defence
88
Form
65
Castellón Castellón
Attack
50
Defence
87
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alaves vs Castellón?
The model gives Alaves a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Castellón win.
How many goals are expected in Alaves vs Castellón?
Expected goals: Alaves 0.7, Castellón 1.2 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Alaves vs Castellón?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.54%.