T. Martinez
(ast. A. Blanco)
44'
L. Boye
90'
(pen.)
4'
V. Rosier
(pen.)
80'
A. Budimir
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Osasuna 32%). The final result was Alaves 2–2 Osasuna. In 2 previous meetings, Alaves have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Osasuna.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
5
2.04
Actual xG
1.30
3
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
1
7
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
-5'
Asier Osambela
4'
V. Rosier⚽
16'
Valentin Rosier
Antonio Blanco
41'
41'
Jon Moncayola
⚽T. Martinez
· ast. A. Blanco
44'
J. Guridi
/ C. Alena
46'
Yusi
/ A. Rebbach
46'
60'
V. Munoz
/
K. Barja
I. Diabate
/ A. Guevara
73'
77'
R. Garcia
/
A. Oroz
77'
A. Bretones
/
R. Garcia
77'
I. Munoz
/
L. Torro
80'
(pen.)
A. Budimir⚽
P. Ibanez
/ L. Boye
81'
85'
J. Herrando
/
A. Budimir
87'
Flavien Boyomo
89'
Ángel Pérez
90'+4
90'+4
Iker Muñoz
90'
Alejandro Catena
⚽L. Boye
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.42%
Alaves
27.26%
X ←
32.32%
Osasuna
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
2.04
+0.71
1.15
1.30
+0.15
Alaves dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sivera
G
Sivera
G
3
Yusi
45'
D
Yusi
45'
D
24
Víctor Parada
D
Víctor Parada
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
N. Tenaglia
D
17
Jonny
D
Jonny
D
18
Jon Guridi
45'
M
Jon Guridi
45'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
1 👟
M
Antonio Blanco
1 👟
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
81'
M
Pablo Ibáñez
81'
M
7
Ángel Pérez
M
22
I. Diabate
73'
F
I. Diabate
73'
F
11
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
F
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
A. Rebbach
45'
F
A. Rebbach
45'
F
10
Carles Aleñá
45'
M
Carles Aleñá
45'
M
15
L. Boyé
1 ⚽
9'
F
L. Boyé
1 ⚽
9'
F
1
Sergio Herrera
G
Sergio Herrera
G
20
Javi Galán
D
Javi Galán
D
22
F. Boyomo
D
F. Boyomo
D
24
Catena
D
Catena
D
19
Valentin Rosier
1 ⚽
D
Valentin Rosier
1 ⚽
D
6
Lucas Torró
77'
M
Lucas Torró
77'
M
7
Moncayola
M
Moncayola
M
11
Kike Barja
60'
M
Kike Barja
60'
M
10
Aimar Oroz
77'
M
Aimar Oroz
77'
M
14
Rubén García
77'
M
Rubén García
77'
M
17
A. Budimir
1 ⚽
85'
F
A. Budimir
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
29
Asier Osambela
M
Asier Osambela
M
8
Iker Muñoz
13'
M
Iker Muñoz
13'
M
5
Jorge Herrando
12'
D
Jorge Herrando
12'
D
3
Juan Cruz
D
Juan Cruz
D
16
Moi Gómez
F
Moi Gómez
F
9
Raúl García
13'
F
Raúl García
13'
F
18
Raul Moro
F
Raul Moro
F
21
Víctor Muñoz
30'
F
Víctor Muñoz
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Toni Martínez
F · Alaves
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 22 pass
L. Boyé
F · Alaves
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Valentin Rosier
D · Osasuna
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Jonny
D · Alaves
7.20
· 52 pass
Antonio Blanco
M · Alaves
7.20
1 👟
· 46 pass
Pablo Ibáñez
M · Alaves
7.20
3 shots
· 31 pass
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivera | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Yusi | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Parada | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tenaglia | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jonny | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Ángel Pérez | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Diabate | F | 73 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Rebbach | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 9 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Osasuna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Catena | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | — | 1 | — |
| Valentin Rosier | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Moncayola | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kike Barja | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Rubén García | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 85 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Raúl García | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Osasuna?
The final score was Alaves 2–2 Osasuna.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Osasuna?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Alaves win, 27% to a draw, and 32% to an Osasuna win.