T. Martinez
13'
73'
(ast. P. Ciss)
S. Camello
90'
(ast. S. Camello)
R. Nteka
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Rayo Vallecano 32%). The final result was Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano. In 2 previous meetings, Alaves have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rayo Vallecano.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
11
Shots on target
7
1.69
Actual xG
1.35
5
Saves
10
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
5
14
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽T. Martinez
13'
V. Parada
/ C. Protesoni
33'
38'
S. Camello
/
C. Martin
46'
J. de Frutos
/
A. Garcia
54'
S. Camello
61'
P. Ciss
/
A. Mumin
61'
Alemao
/
O. Valentin
64'
P. Ciss
A. Perez
69'
73'
ast. P. Ciss ·
S. Camello⚽
P. Ibanez
/ D. Suarez
74'
A. Rebbach
79'
L. Boye
/ I. Diabate
84'
J. Guridi
/ A. Guevara
84'
N. Tenaglia
88'
88'
A. Ratiu
/
I. Balliu
90'+4
Pacha
90'
ast. S. Camello ·
R. Nteka⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.82%
Alaves
25.5%
X
32.67%
Rayo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano)
32.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.69
+0.3
1.17
1.35
+0.18
Alaves dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Antonio Sivera
G
Antonio Sivera
G
24
Victor Parada
33'
D
Victor Parada
33'
D
16
Ville Koski
D
Ville Koski
D
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
21
Abderrahman Rebbach
M
Abderrahman Rebbach
M
18
Jon Guridi
84'
M
Jon Guridi
84'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
74'
M
Pablo Ibáñez
74'
M
7
Ángel Pérez
M
Ángel Pérez
M
11
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
F
Toni Martínez
1 ⚽
F
15
L. Boyé
84'
F
L. Boyé
84'
F
Bench
34
Aitor Mañas
F
Aitor Mañas
F
20
Calebe Gonçalves
M
Calebe Gonçalves
M
10
Carles Aleñá
M
Carles Aleñá
M
23
Carlos Benavídez
62'
M
Carlos Benavídez
62'
M
4
Denis Suárez
21'
M
Denis Suárez
21'
M
31
Grégoire Swiderski
G
Grégoire Swiderski
G
6
Guevara
11'
M
Guevara
11'
M
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
11'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
11'
F
17
Jonny Otto
D
Jonny Otto
D
9
Mariano Díaz
F
13
Raúl Fernández
G
Raúl Fernández
G
3
Yusi
D
Yusi
D
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
22
Pacha
D
Pacha
D
32
N. Mendy
D
N. Mendy
D
16
Abdul Mumin
61'
D
Abdul Mumin
61'
D
20
Iván Balliu
88'
D
Iván Balliu
88'
D
15
Gerard Gumbau
M
Gerard Gumbau
M
23
Óscar Valentín
61'
M
Óscar Valentín
61'
M
18
Álvaro García
45'
M
Álvaro García
45'
M
4
Pedro Díaz
M
Pedro Díaz
M
14
Carlos Martín
38'
M
Carlos Martín
38'
M
11
Randy Nteka
1 ⚽
F
Randy Nteka
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Alemão
34'
F
Alemão
34'
F
2
Andrei Rațiu
7'
D
Andrei Rațiu
7'
D
13
Augusto Batalla
G
Augusto Batalla
G
24
Florian Lejeune
D
Florian Lejeune
D
21
Fran Pérez
M
Fran Pérez
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
50'
F
Jorge de Frutos
50'
F
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
30
Juanpe
G
Juanpe
G
8
Óscar Trejo
M
Óscar Trejo
M
6
P. Ciss
1 👟
34'
M
P. Ciss
1 👟
34'
M
3
Pep Chavarría
D
Pep Chavarría
D
10
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
1 👟
57'
F
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
1 👟
57'
F
Best on the pitch
Dani Cárdenas
G · Rayo
8.60
· 30 pass
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
Randy Nteka
F · Rayo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
Toni Martínez
F · Alaves
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Óscar Valentín
M · Rayo
7.70
· 21 pass
Jon Guridi
M · Alaves
7.30
· 23 pass
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Victor Parada | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ville Koski | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Ángel Pérez | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Benavídez | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Guevara | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 95 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pacha | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Mendy | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdul Mumin | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Iván Balliu | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 61 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Álvaro García | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | M | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Randy Nteka | F | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | F | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ciss | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 57 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Alaves win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an Rayo Vallecano win.