L. Boye
(ast. A. Perez)
31'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Villarreal 33%). The final result was Alaves 1–0 Villarreal. In 2 previous meetings, Alaves have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
6
0.81
Actual xG
1.28
6
Saves
1
25%
Possession
75%
5
Corners
9
22
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽L. Boye
· ast. A. Perez
31'
Q. Sanchez Flores
45'+2
A. Rebbach
48'
T. Martinez
/ M. Diaz
54'
M. Rodriguez
/ Yusi
54'
62'
A. Perez
/
S. Comesana
62'
A. Freeman
/
S. Mourino
63'
A. Moleiro
/
T. Buchanan
70'
I. Akhomach
/
G. Moreno
A. Rebbach
/ D. Suarez
71'
A. Perez
/ C. Protesoni
71'
L. Boye
/ A. Manas
82'
82'
T. Oluwaseyi
/
G. Mikautadze
86'
N. Pepe
M. Diaz
89'
A. Sivera
90'+2
90'+2
R. Veiga
Pre-match prediction
35.14%
Alaves ←
31.7%
X
33.16%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Alaves)
35.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.81
-0.76
1.04
1.28
+0.24
Villarreal dominated by xG (1.28 vs 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Sivera
G
Sivera
G
21
A. Rebbach
71'
D
A. Rebbach
71'
D
17
Jonny
D
Jonny
D
16
V. Koski
D
V. Koski
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
N. Tenaglia
D
7
Angel Pérez
1 👟
71'
D
Angel Pérez
1 👟
71'
D
18
Mikel Rodriguez
54'
M
Mikel Rodriguez
54'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
M
Pablo Ibáñez
M
15
L. Boyé
1 ⚽
82'
F
L. Boyé
1 ⚽
82'
F
11
Toni Martínez
54'
F
Toni Martínez
54'
F
Bench
13
A. Giménez
G
A. Giménez
G
20
Aitor Mañas
8'
F
Aitor Mañas
8'
F
10
Carles Aleñá
M
Carles Aleñá
M
23
C. Benavídez
19'
M
C. Benavídez
19'
M
4
Denis Suárez
19'
M
Denis Suárez
19'
M
6
Guevara
M
Guevara
M
12
Hugo Novoa
F
Hugo Novoa
F
9
M. Díaz
36'
F
M. Díaz
36'
F
22
Miguel Rodríguez
F
Miguel Rodríguez
F
2
N. Valentini
D
N. Valentini
D
27
X. Olaiz
D
X. Olaiz
D
3
Yusi
36'
D
Yusi
36'
D
1
Luíz Júnior
G
Luíz Júnior
G
20
Carlos Romero
D
Carlos Romero
D
12
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
8
J. Foyth
D
J. Foyth
D
15
S. Mouriño
62'
D
S. Mouriño
62'
D
17
T. Buchanan
63'
M
T. Buchanan
63'
M
18
P. Gueye
M
P. Gueye
M
14
Santi Comesaña
62'
M
Santi Comesaña
62'
M
19
N. Pépé
M
N. Pépé
M
9
G. Mikautadze
82'
F
G. Mikautadze
82'
F
7
Gerard Moreno
70'
F
Gerard Moreno
70'
F
Bench
5
A. Diatta
M
A. Diatta
M
3
A. Freeman
28'
D
A. Freeman
28'
D
10
Alberto Moleiro
27'
M
Alberto Moleiro
27'
M
22
Ayoze Pérez
28'
F
Ayoze Pérez
28'
F
26
C. Macia
M
C. Macia
M
11
Ilias Akhomach
20'
F
Ilias Akhomach
20'
F
2
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
24
N. Saliba
M
N. Saliba
M
6
Pau Navarro
D
Pau Navarro
D
25
P. Gulácsi
G
P. Gulácsi
G
23
Sergi Cardona
D
Sergi Cardona
D
21
T. Oluwaseyi
8'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Sivera
G · Alaves
8.00
· 25 pass
Jonny
D · Alaves
7.70
1 shots
· 22 pass
J. Foyth
D · Villarreal
7.60
3 shots
· 88 pass
Angel Pérez
D · Alaves
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 7 pass
L. Boyé
F · Alaves
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
V. Koski
D · Alaves
7.20
· 7 pass
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivera | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Rebbach | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jonny | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| V. Koski | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tenaglia | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Angel Pérez | D | 71 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikel Rodriguez | M | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 82 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Aitor Mañas | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Benavídez | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Díaz | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Yusi | D | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
Villarreal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luíz Júnior | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Romero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 84% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Foyth | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 88 | 83% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Mouriño | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 81 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Pépé | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 28 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Villarreal?
The final score was Alaves 1–0 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Alaves win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Villarreal win.