Albania - San Marino
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.72%
Win
Albania
35.91%
Draw
26.37%
Win
San Marino
0.85
0.69
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(21.33%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
36%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
62%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
72%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Albania a 37% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 26% for San Marino. Expected goals are 0.9 for Albania and 0.7 for San Marino (total 1.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 21.33% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
3L
2W
1D
1L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
0.8
2.5
Shots OT
3.5
3.0
Corners
4.0
44%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
25%
33%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
0W
1D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
0.3
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
50%
33%
Win or Draw
50%
33%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
67%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Albania
San Marino →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.3% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 18.2% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Albania
Attack
8
Defence
71
Form
39
San Marino
Attack
20
Defence
46
Form
1
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 1
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albania
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Finland
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Belarus
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
San Marino
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 1
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #4 |
| → Albania | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → San Marino | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Albania vs San Marino?
The model gives Albania a 37% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 26% for an San Marino win.
How many goals are expected in Albania vs San Marino?
Expected goals: Albania 0.9, San Marino 0.7 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Albania vs San Marino?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.33%.