Copa del Rey
· Round of 128
October 27, 2026 21:00
71'
Chupe
80'
Chupe
88'
D. Lorenzo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alcazar a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Malaga 29%). The final result was Alcazar 0–3 Malaga.
Match statistics
Match Events
A. Ruefli
34'
A. Ruefli
/ B. Ferraris
43'
46'
D. Larrubia
/
R. Rodriguez
46'
H. Abaida
/
J. Cajuste
46'
Chupe
/
C. Dotor
54'
Chupe
56'
D. Lorenzo
/
J. Berrocal
A. Alberto
61'
Gilson
70'
71'
Chupe⚽
74'
J. Fernandez
Quini
/ J. Soriano
75'
A. Alberto
/ Joselu
75'
E. Avila
/ R. Moreno
75'
A. Aviles
79'
80'
Chupe⚽
82'
C. Puga
/
J. Fernandez
88'
D. Lorenzo⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.52%
Alcazar
30.74%
X
29.75%
Malaga ←
we assigned to the actual result (Malaga)
29.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.51
—
—
0.56
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alcazar vs Malaga?
The final score was Alcazar 0–3 Malaga.
What did the model predict before Alcazar vs Malaga?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Alcazar win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Malaga win.