Alcochetense - CF Benfica
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.57%
Win
Alcochetense
32.13%
Draw
33.3%
Win
CF Benfica
4.5
3.69
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.29%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alcochetense a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for CF Benfica. Expected goals are 4.5 for Alcochetense and 3.7 for CF Benfica (total 8.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.29% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
4.5
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Alcochetense
CF Benfica →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
Playing profile
Alcochetense
Attack
94
Defence
96
Form
88
CF Benfica
Attack
75
Defence
100
Form
82
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alcochetense vs CF Benfica?
The model gives Alcochetense a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an CF Benfica win.
How many goals are expected in Alcochetense vs CF Benfica?
Expected goals: Alcochetense 4.5, CF Benfica 3.7 (total 8.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Alcochetense vs CF Benfica?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.29%.