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Alcochetense - Maritimo

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
Alcochetense
vs
Maritimo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.14%
Win
Alcochetense
29.56%
Draw
29.3%
Win
Maritimo
4.5
Expected xG
0.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.96%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 30%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 59%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alcochetense a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Maritimo. Expected goals are 4.5 for Alcochetense and 0.8 for Maritimo (total 5.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.96% probability.

Season Stats

Alcochetense
2W 0D 1L
Maritimo
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.7
Goals
0.0
0.7
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Alcochetense
2W 0D 0L · at home
Maritimo
0W 0D 1L · away
5.0
gls/g
0.0
0.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alcochetense Maritimo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% — — —
1 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% — —
2 5.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 7.5% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 8.5% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% —
5 7.6% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% —

Recent form

Alcochetense Alcochetense
W CF Benfica 2–0
W Fayal 8–0
L Oriental Lisboa 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Maritimo Maritimo
L CF Os Belenenses 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Alcochetense Alcochetense
Attack
72
Defence
98
Form
88
Maritimo Maritimo
Attack
27
Defence
57
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alcochetense vs Maritimo?
The model gives Alcochetense a 41% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Maritimo win.
How many goals are expected in Alcochetense vs Maritimo?
Expected goals: Alcochetense 4.5, Maritimo 0.8 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Alcochetense vs Maritimo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.96%.