← Primera RFEF - Group 2

Alcorcon - Marbella

Primera RFEF - Group 2 May 16, 2026 21:00
Alcorcon
#12 · 47 pts
vs
Marbella
#18 · 31 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 18.1°C 💨 8 km/h · Alcorcón
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.79%
Win
Alcorcon
32.41%
Draw
31.8%
Win
Marbella
1.75
Expected xG
1.39

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alcorcon a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Marbella. Expected goals are 1.7 for Alcorcon and 1.4 for Marbella (total 3.1), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.6% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Alcorcon have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Marbella.

Score Matrix
↕ Alcorcon Marbella →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4% 6.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.6% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
Recent form
Alcorcon Alcorcon
D Sevilla Atletico 1–1
W Marbella 3–1
L Ibiza 2–0
W Yeclano 2–0
L Hércules 2–0
Marbella Marbella
W Antequera 2–0
L Alcorcon 3–1
W Recreativo Huelva 3–1
L Real Madrid II 3–2
W Atlético Madrid II 2–0
Playing profile
Alcorcon Alcorcon
Attack
34
Defence
69
Form
56
Marbella Marbella
Attack
44
Defence
63
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Alcorcon
1
Draw
0
Marbella
W 17 May 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2 3–1
D 12 Jan 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2 3–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Eldense Eldense 36 66
2 Sabadell Sabadell 36 65
3 Atlético Madrid II Atlético Madrid II 36 64
4 Villarreal II Villarreal II 36 59
5 Europa Fc Europa Fc 36 57
6 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena 36 56
7 Algeciras Algeciras 36 55
8 Antequera Antequera 36 50
9 Hércules Hércules 36 50
10 Teruel Teruel 36 48
11 Ibiza Ibiza 36 47
12 Alcorcon Alcorcon 36 47
13 Real Murcia Real Murcia 36 46
14 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos 36 46
15 Tarazona Tarazona 36 45
16 Gimnastic Gimnastic 36 43
17 Real Betis II Real Betis II 36 41
18 Marbella Marbella 36 31
19 Sanluqueño Sanluqueño 36 29
20 Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico 36 27
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alcorcon vs Marbella?
The model gives Alcorcon a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Marbella win.
How many goals are expected in Alcorcon vs Marbella?
Expected goals: Alcorcon 1.7, Marbella 1.4 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Alcorcon vs Marbella?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.6%.