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← Primera RFEF - Group 2

Alcorcon - Real Jaén

Primera RFEF - Group 2 November 07, 2026 16:30
Alcorcon
#7 · 15 pts
vs
Real Jaén
#3 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.23%
Win
Alcorcon
24.94%
Draw
18.83%
Win
Real Jaén
1.87
Expected xG
0.81
Most likely outcome
Alcorcon
56.23%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.93%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 25%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 44%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alcorcon a 56% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Real Jaén. Expected goals are 1.9 for Alcorcon and 0.8 for Real Jaén (total 2.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.93% probability.

Season Stats

Alcorcon
5W 7D 3L
Real Jaén
5W 4D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.6
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
70%
47%
O 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
27%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera RFEF - Group 2. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Alcorcon
4W 4D 2L · at home
Real Jaén
2W 2D 1L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
0.6
40%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
70%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
20%
50%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
60%
30%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alcorcon Real Jaén →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 12.8% 10.4% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 12.0% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% —
3 7.5% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Alcorcon Alcorcon
D Atlético Madrid II 1–1
D Ibiza 3–3
D Huesca 1–1
L Teruel 1–0
W Juventud Torremolinos 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Real Jaén Real Jaén
W Algeciras 3–2
D Atlético Madrid II 1–1
W Rayo Majadahonda 1–0
D Villarreal II 3–3
D Hércules 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Alcorcon Alcorcon
Attack
46
Defence
74
Form
57
Real Jaén Real Jaén
Attack
36
Defence
71
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Villarreal II Villarreal II 10 21
2 Zaragoza Zaragoza 10 21
3 Real Jaén Real Jaén 10 19
4 Real Murcia Real Murcia 10 19
5 Ibiza Ibiza 10 17
6 Hércules Hércules 10 16
7 Alcorcon Alcorcon 10 15
8 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena 10 15
9 Huesca Huesca 10 15
10 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 10 15
11 Gimnastic Gimnastic 10 14
12 Algeciras Algeciras 10 13
13 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 10 12
14 Atlético Madrid II Atlético Madrid II 10 11
15 Antequera Antequera 10 11
16 Águilas Águilas 10 8
17 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 10 7
18 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos 10 7
19 Europa Fc Europa Fc 10 7
20 Teruel Teruel 10 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
The model gives Alcorcon a 56% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 18% for an Real Jaén win.
How many goals are expected in Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
Expected goals: Alcorcon 1.9, Real Jaén 0.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.93%.