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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 12 October 09, 2026 19:30 Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata
Aldosivi
#14 · 8 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Sarmiento Junin
#7 · 21 pts
Lucas Castro (ast. Martín García) 20'
18' (ast. Jhon Rentería) Junior Marabel
86' (ast. Jonathan Herrera) Julian Mavilla
89' (ast. Thyago Ayala) Jonathan Herrera
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aldosivi a 46% win probability (draw 21%, Sarmiento Junin 32%). The final result was Aldosivi 1–3 Sarmiento Junin. In 1 previous meetings, Aldosivi have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sarmiento Junin.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
3
0.87
Actual xG
1.77
0
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
1
18
Tackles
16
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
18'
ast. Jhon Rentería · Junior Marabel⚽
⚽Lucas Castro · ast. Martín García
20'
Javier Esteban Sanguinetti
27'
Nicolas Zalazar
29'
Leonardo Sigali
29'
↕ Rodrigo González / Santiago Moya
32'
33'
Mauricio Martínez
38'
Lucas·Suarez
Lucas Castro
45'+1
↕ Nicolás Linares / Tomás Fernández
45'
51'
Ulises Adrian Gimenez
58'
Santiago Salle / Ulises Adrian Gimenez ↕
58'
Manuel García / Elián Giménez ↕
62'
Gaston Gonzalez / Jhon Rentería ↕
↕ Nicolás Cordero / Andrés Chávez
65'
77'
Jonathan Herrera / Mauricio Martínez ↕
78'
Pablo Daniel Magnin / Junior Marabel ↕
↕ Nicolás Gaitán / Bautista Dadín
79'
Tomás Fernández
81'
Martín García
83'
86'
ast. Jonathan Herrera · Julian Mavilla⚽
89'
ast. Thyago Ayala · Jonathan Herrera⚽
Pre-match prediction
46.21%
Aldosivi
21.44%
X
32.35%
Sarmiento ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sarmiento Junin) 32.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Aldosivi
2.25
0.87
-1.38
Sarmiento
1.83
1.77
-0.06
Sarmiento Junin dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
Aldosivi Aldosivi 4-4-1-1
23 I. Chicco I. Chicco G 5.93
13 B. Cufré B. Cufré D 5.62
33 N. Zalazar N. Zalazar D 5.48
2 L. Sigali L. Sigali D 5.64
4 R. González R. González 32' D 5.68
11 B. Palavecino B. Palavecino M 6.40
19 L. Castro L. Castro 1 ⚽ M 6.73
5 N. Linares N. Linares 45' M 5.85
10 N. Gaitán N. Gaitán 79' M 5.98
8 M. García M. García 1 👟 M 6.44
9 N. Cordero N. Cordero 65' F 6.27
Bench
16 B. Dadín B. Dadín 11' F 6.28
24 F. Anso F. Anso F 0.00
17 F. Laurelli F. Laurelli D 0.00
15 F. Perruzzi F. Perruzzi M 0.00
80
L. Chávez M
21 M. Godoy M. Godoy F 0.00
25 N. Breitenbruch N. Breitenbruch D 0.00
7 N. Guzmán N. Guzmán F 0.00
28 S. Moya S. Moya 58' D 5.86
27 T. Fernández T. Fernández 45' F 6.09
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 4-3-3
12 T. Ayala T. Ayala 1 👟 G 6.75
3 L. Suárez L. Suárez D 5.66
2 J. Insaurralde J. Insaurralde D 6.22
44 R. Orihuela R. Orihuela D 6.42
20 U. Giménez U. Giménez 58' D 5.75
16 Mauricio Leonel Martínez Mauricio Leonel Martínez 77' M 6.33
15 C. Zabala C. Zabala M 6.34
23 E. Giménez E. Giménez 58' M 6.08
21 J. Mavilla J. Mavilla 1 ⚽ F 8.20
27 J. Marabel J. Marabel 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.71
10 Jhon Rentería Jhon Rentería 1 👟 62' F 6.74
Bench
17 A. Nadruz A. Nadruz M 0.00
6 G. Arturia G. Arturia D 0.00
33 G. Díaz G. Díaz M 0.00
11 G. González G. González 28' F 6.53
1 I. Arboleda I. Arboleda G 0.00
19 J. Contrera J. Contrera M 0.00
24 J. Herrera J. Herrera 1 ⚽ 1 👟 13' F 7.63
5 M. García M. García 32' M 6.24
77 N. Pasquini N. Pasquini D 0.00
7 P. Magnín P. Magnín 12' F 6.64
8 S. Salle S. Salle 32' F 6.55
29 T. Santamaría T. Santamaría D 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Mavilla
J. Mavilla
F · Sarmiento
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
J. Marabel
J. Marabel
F · Sarmiento
7.71
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
F · Sarmiento
7.63
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 7 pass
T. Ayala
T. Ayala
G · Sarmiento
6.75
1 👟
· 29 pass
Jhon Rentería
Jhon Rentería
F · Sarmiento
6.74
1 👟
· 11 pass
L. Castro
L. Castro
M · Aldosivi
6.73
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Aldosivi Aldosivi — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Chicco G 90 5.93 — — 0 22 15% 0 — —
B. Cufré D 90 5.62 — — 1 27 17% 2 — —
N. Zalazar D 90 5.48 — — 3 50 26% 2 1 —
L. Sigali D 90 5.64 — — 0 41 30% 0 1 —
R. González D 32 5.68 — — 0 9 2% 1 — —
B. Palavecino M 90 6.40 — — 1 26 20% 2 — —
L. Castro M 90 6.73 1 — 1 44 28% 7 1 —
N. Linares M 45 5.85 — — 1 15 10% 0 — —
N. Gaitán M 79 5.98 — — 0 18 14% 1 — —
M. García M 90 6.44 — 1 4 19 11% 2 1 —
N. Cordero F 65 6.27 — — 1 13 8% 0 — —
B. Dadín F 11 6.28 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
S. Moya D 58 5.86 — — 0 21 15% 1 — —
T. Fernández F 45 6.09 — — 1 9 7% 0 1 —
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Ayala G 90 6.75 — 1 0 29 13% 0 — —
L. Suárez D 90 5.66 — — 0 27 15% 2 1 —
J. Insaurralde D 90 6.22 — — 0 48 32% 0 — —
R. Orihuela D 90 6.42 — — 0 39 29% 4 — —
U. Giménez D 58 5.75 — — 1 17 10% 0 1 —
Mauricio Leonel Martínez M 77 6.33 — — 2 26 21% 0 1 —
C. Zabala M 90 6.34 — — 1 52 43% 4 — —
E. Giménez M 58 6.08 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
J. Mavilla F 90 8.20 1 — 2 36 31% 1 — —
J. Marabel F 78 7.71 1 — 2 12 9% 0 — —
Jhon Rentería F 62 6.74 — 1 0 11 9% 1 — —
G. González F 28 6.53 — — 2 5 1% 0 — —
J. Herrera F 13 7.63 1 1 2 7 5% 0 — —
M. García M 32 6.24 — — 1 13 10% 2 — —
P. Magnín F 12 6.64 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
S. Salle F 32 6.55 — — 0 8 7% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?
The final score was Aldosivi 1–3 Sarmiento Junin.
What did the model predict before Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Aldosivi win, 21% to a draw, and 32% to an Sarmiento Junin win.