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Alebrijes de Oaxaca - CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX September 25, 2026 03:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
#13 · 10 pts
vs
CA La Paz
#2 · 17 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.99%
Win
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
30.59%
Draw
44.42%
Win
CA La Paz
0.53
Expected xG
1.21

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (12.55%)
1X2 Result
1 25%
X 31%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 75%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 41%
✓ 87.0% hit rate (23 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives CA La Paz a 44% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Expected goals are 0.5 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.2 for CA La Paz (total 1.7), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.55% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for CA La Paz.

Season Stats

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
5W 2D 8L
CA La Paz
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.7
1.9
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
53%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
5W 3D 2L · at home
CA La Paz
2W 4D 4L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.6
1.1
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
90%
30%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alebrijes de Oaxaca CA La Paz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.5% 21.2% 12.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.3% 11.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
L Cancún 3–0
W Durango 1–0
L Monarcas 4–1
D Tapatío 1–1
L CDS Tampico Madero 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
CA La Paz CA La Paz
W Correcaminos Uat 3–1
D Leones Negros UDG 2–2
W Mineros de Zacatecas 3–0
W Cancún 1–2
D Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Attack
21
Defence
61
Form
41
CA La Paz CA La Paz
Attack
54
Defence
81
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1
Draw
1
CA La Paz
21 Mar 2026 Liga de Expansión MX 0–4
11 Oct 2025 Liga de Expansión MX 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Monarcas Monarcas 9 21
2 CA La Paz CA La Paz 9 17
3 Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG 9 17
4 Piratas Piratas 9 15
5 Cancún Cancún 9 14
6 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 9 14
7 Tapatío Tapatío 9 14
8 Dorados Dorados 9 13
9 Venados FC Venados FC 9 13
10 Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat 9 12
11 Durango Durango 9 11
12 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 9 11
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 9 10
14 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 9 8
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Cruz Azul Hidalgo 9 7
16 Tepatitlán Tepatitlán 9 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
The model gives Alebrijes de Oaxaca a 24% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 44% for an CA La Paz win.
How many goals are expected in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
Expected goals: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0.5, CA La Paz 1.2 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.55%.