Liga de Expansión MX
· Apertura - 4
August 14, 2026 03:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alebrijes de Oaxaca a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Tepatitlán 28%). The final result was Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–0 Tepatitlán. In 2 previous meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Tepatitlán.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
40.6%
Alebrijes ←
30.81%
X
28.59%
Tepatitlán
we assigned to the actual result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca)
40.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
—
—
0.65
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán?
The final score was Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1–0 Tepatitlán.
What did the model predict before Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win, 30% to a draw, and 28% to an Tepatitlán win.