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← Serie D - Girone A

Alessandria - Imperia

Serie D - Girone A September 30, 2026 15:00 Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Alessandria
#8 · 6 pts
vs
Imperia
#11 · 4 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 24.0°C 💨 14 km/h · Alessandria
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.04%
Win
Alessandria
28.15%
Draw
27.81%
Win
Imperia
4.4
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.92%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alessandria a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Imperia. Expected goals are 4.4 for Alessandria and 1.2 for Imperia (total 5.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.92% probability.

Season Stats

Alessandria
2W 0D 1L
Imperia
4W 6D 5L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
47%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Alessandria
1W 0D 0L · at home
Imperia
2W 5D 3L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.9
1.0
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
20%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alessandria Imperia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
1 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 5.1% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Alessandria Alessandria
L Millesimo 4–1
W Sestri Levante 2–1
W Valenzana 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Imperia Imperia
L Asti 1–2
D Derthona 1–1
W Millesimo 1–0
L Celle Varazze 0–1
D Derthona 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Alessandria Alessandria
Attack
41
Defence
49
Form
56
Imperia Imperia
Attack
18
Defence
48
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Derthona Derthona 4 10
2 Saluzzo Saluzzo 4 8
3 Biellese Biellese 4 8
4 Lascaris Lascaris 4 8
5 Fezzanese Fezzanese 4 7
6 Asti Asti 4 7
7 Millesimo Millesimo 4 6
8 Alessandria Alessandria 3 6
9 Sanremese Sanremese 4 5
10 Gozzano Gozzano 4 5
11 Imperia Imperia 3 4
12 Ligorna Ligorna 4 4
13 Chisola Chisola 3 4
14 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 4 4
15 Bra Bra 4 2
16 Borgosesia Borgosesia 3 2
17 Valenzana Valenzana 4 1
18 Celle Varazze Celle Varazze 4 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alessandria vs Imperia?
The model gives Alessandria a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Imperia win.
How many goals are expected in Alessandria vs Imperia?
Expected goals: Alessandria 4.4, Imperia 1.2 (total 5.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Alessandria vs Imperia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.92%.