← Primera RFEF - Group 2

Algeciras - Hércules

Primera RFEF - Group 2 May 16, 2026 21:00
Algeciras
#7 · 55 pts
vs
Hércules
#9 · 50 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 19.3°C 💨 11 km/h · Algeciras
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.21%
Win
Algeciras
32.7%
Draw
32.09%
Win
Hércules
2.76
Expected xG
0.99

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Algeciras a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Hércules. Expected goals are 2.8 for Algeciras and 1.0 for Hércules (total 3.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 9.0% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Algeciras have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hércules.

Score Matrix
↕ Algeciras Hércules →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 6.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.7% 5.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
5 3.1% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
Recent form
Algeciras Algeciras
L Real Murcia 2–1
W Alcoyano 2–1
W Hércules 1–2
D Real Betis II 2–2
D Yeclano 2–2
Hércules Hércules
L Sanluqueño 2–3
L Intercity 1–0
L Algeciras 1–2
L Villarreal II 2–1
W Alcorcon 2–0
Playing profile
Algeciras Algeciras
Attack
46
Defence
71
Form
59
Hércules Hércules
Attack
31
Defence
56
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Algeciras
0
Draw
1
Hércules
W 11 May 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2 2–1
L 11 Oct 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2 2–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Eldense Eldense 36 66
2 Sabadell Sabadell 36 65
3 Atlético Madrid II Atlético Madrid II 36 64
4 Villarreal II Villarreal II 36 59
5 Europa Fc Europa Fc 36 57
6 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena 36 56
7 Algeciras Algeciras 36 55
8 Antequera Antequera 36 50
9 Hércules Hércules 36 50
10 Teruel Teruel 36 48
11 Ibiza Ibiza 36 47
12 Alcorcon Alcorcon 36 47
13 Real Murcia Real Murcia 36 46
14 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos 36 46
15 Tarazona Tarazona 36 45
16 Gimnastic Gimnastic 36 43
17 Real Betis II Real Betis II 36 41
18 Marbella Marbella 36 31
19 Sanluqueño Sanluqueño 36 29
20 Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico 36 27
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Algeciras vs Hércules?
The model gives Algeciras a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Hércules win.
How many goals are expected in Algeciras vs Hércules?
Expected goals: Algeciras 2.8, Hércules 1.0 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Algeciras vs Hércules?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.0%.