Algeria - Togo
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.34%
Win
Algeria
29.28%
Draw
22.39%
Win
Togo
1.3
0.62
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.74%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
29%
2
22%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
52%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Algeria a 48% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Togo. Expected goals are 1.3 for Algeria and 0.6 for Togo (total 1.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.74% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
0.5
1.5
Conceded
1.0
4.5
Shots OT
2.0
4.0
Corners
7.0
69%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Algeria
Togo →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 12.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Algeria
Attack
49
Defence
68
Form
56
Togo
Attack
33
Defence
69
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group I
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #3 |
| → Algeria | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Togo | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Algeria vs Togo?
The model gives Algeria a 48% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 22% for an Togo win.
How many goals are expected in Algeria vs Togo?
Expected goals: Algeria 1.3, Togo 0.6 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Algeria vs Togo?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.74%.