Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Algeria
Jaouen Hadjam
(ast. Mohamed Amoura)
2'
Ibrahim Maza
(ast. Mohamed Amoura)
67'
Anis Hadj Moussa
(ast. Ibrahim Maza)
74'
57'
(ast. David Simukonda)
Fashion Sakala
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Algeria a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Zambia 17%). The final result was Algeria 3–1 Zambia.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Jaouen Hadjam
· ast. Mohamed Amoura
2'
Amine Gouiri
/ Amin Chiakha
20'
45'
David Simukonda
/
Patson Daka
49'
Joseph Liteta
57'
ast. David Simukonda ·
Fashion Sakala⚽
⚽Ibrahim Maza
· ast. Mohamed Amoura
67'
68'
Ghampani Lungu
/
Mathews Banda
68'
Owen Tembo
/
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
68'
Lameck Banda
/
A. Kangwanda
Adem Zorgane
/ Himad Abdelli
71'
Mohamed Amoura
/ Adil Boulbina
71'
Mohamed Belloumi
/ Anis Hadj Moussa
71'
⚽Anis Hadj Moussa
· ast. Ibrahim Maza
74'
77'
Chanka Zimba
/
Kingstone Mutandwa
82'
Owen Tembo
S. Radouani
/ Achraf Abada
89'
89'
Fashion Sakala
Pre-match prediction
60.94%
Algeria ←
21.6%
X
17.45%
Zambia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Algeria)
60.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.95
—
—
0.72
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Mastil
G
M. Mastil
G
13
J. Hadjam
1 ⚽
D
J. Hadjam
1 ⚽
D
21
R. Bensebaïni
D
R. Bensebaïni
D
2
S. Chergui
D
S. Chergui
D
19
13'
D
30
I. Maza
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
I. Maza
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
6
Adem Zorgane
71'
M
Adem Zorgane
71'
M
10
F. Chaïbi
M
F. Chaïbi
M
11
M. Amoura
2 👟
71'
F
M. Amoura
2 👟
71'
F
9
A. Gouiri
20'
F
A. Gouiri
20'
F
20
M. Belloumi
71'
F
M. Belloumi
71'
F
Bench
14
A. Aouchiche
M
A. Aouchiche
M
23
Abdelatif Ramdane
G
18
A. Boulbina
19'
F
A. Boulbina
19'
F
3
Achref Abada
1'
D
7
A. Hadj-Moussa
1 ⚽
19'
F
A. Hadj-Moussa
1 ⚽
19'
F
12
Amin Chiakha
70'
F
Amin Chiakha
70'
F
4
A. Touba
D
A. Touba
D
17
H. Abdelli
19'
M
H. Abdelli
19'
M
24
I. Kebbal
M
I. Kebbal
M
22
M. Bakrar
F
M. Bakrar
F
15
R. Aït-Nouri
D
R. Aït-Nouri
D
5
Z. Belaïd
D
Z. Belaïd
D
1
13'
G
22
D. Hamansenya
D
D. Hamansenya
D
21
Dominic Chanda
D
Dominic Chanda
D
6
13'
D
15
M. Banda
68'
D
M. Banda
68'
D
10
F. Sakala
1 ⚽
M
F. Sakala
1 ⚽
M
26
J. Liteta
M
J. Liteta
M
5
M. Chaiwa
68'
M
M. Chaiwa
68'
M
11
13'
M
20
P. Daka
45'
F
P. Daka
45'
F
7
K. Mutandwa
77'
F
K. Mutandwa
77'
F
Bench
28
David Simukonda
1 👟
45'
M
David Simukonda
1 👟
45'
M
24
G. Lungu
22'
F
G. Lungu
22'
F
9
L. Banda
22'
M
L. Banda
22'
M
Best on the pitch
I. Maza
M · Algeria
8.93
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 38 pass
J. Hadjam
D · Algeria
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
A. Hadj-Moussa
F · Algeria
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
M. Amoura
F · Algeria
7.29
2 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
F. Sakala
M · Zambia
7.10
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
A. Boulbina
F · Algeria
7.01
1 shots
· 6 pass
Algeria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mastil | G | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Hadjam | D | 90 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 81 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Chergui | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 13 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| I. Maza | M | 90 | 8.93 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Adem Zorgane | M | 71 | 6.99 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 71 | 7.29 | — | 2 | 1 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 20 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Boulbina | F | 19 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Achref Abada | D | 1 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | F | 19 | 7.61 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Amin Chiakha | F | 70 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 19 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
Zambia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 13 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| D. Hamansenya | D | 90 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Dominic Chanda | D | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 13 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M. Banda | D | 68 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Sakala | M | 90 | 7.10 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Liteta | M | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 68 | 5.54 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 13 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| P. Daka | F | 45 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 77 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| David Simukonda | M | 45 | 5.95 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lungu | F | 22 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Banda | M | 22 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Algeria vs Zambia?
The final score was Algeria 3–1 Zambia.
What did the model predict before Algeria vs Zambia?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Algeria win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Zambia win.