Algeria - Zambia
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 25, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.03%
Win
Algeria
27.47%
Draw
22.5%
Win
Zambia
2.04
0.72
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.78%)
1X2 Result
1
50%
X
27%
2
23%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
50%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Algeria a 50% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Zambia. Expected goals are 2.0 for Algeria and 0.7 for Zambia (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.78% probability.
Season Stats
5W
1D
3L
0W
2D
1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.3
1.3
Conceded
1.3
3.8
Shots OT
—
3.3
Corners
—
61%
Poss.
—
Percentages
78%
O 1.5
67%
56%
O 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
3W
1D
1L
· at home
0W
1D
0L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
60%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
0%
20%
O 3.5
0%
20%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Algeria
Zambia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
Algeria
Attack
44
Defence
69
Form
57
Zambia
Attack
5
Defence
60
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Algeria vs Zambia?
The model gives Algeria a 50% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 22% for an Zambia win.
How many goals are expected in Algeria vs Zambia?
Expected goals: Algeria 2.0, Zambia 0.7 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Algeria vs Zambia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.78%.