✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Atletico
Jairo Molina
(ast. Germán Díaz)
19'
Cristian Penilla
56'
(pen.)
10'
(ast. Matías Eric Sen)
Jean Olivares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Comerciantes Unidos 15%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 2–1 Comerciantes Unidos. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Comerciantes Unidos.
Match statistics
26
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
10
Corners
3
8
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
ast. Matías Eric Sen ·
Jean Olivares⚽
⚽Jairo Molina
· ast. Germán Díaz
19'
25'
Agustín Rodríguez
32'
33'
Agustín Rodríguez
⚽Cristian Penilla
(pen.)
56'
57'
Matías Eric Sen
67'
Wilter Ayovi
/
Jean Olivares
67'
Óscar Pinto
/
Jhon Sánchez
Guillermo Larios
/ Ariel Muñoz
68'
77'
Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar
/
Alexis Arias
Jairo Molina
/ Valentin Robaldo
85'
86'
Yimy Gamero
/
Jose Antonio·Parodi
Ariel Muñoz
90'+1
Jorge del Castillo
/ Williams Aldair·Guzman Vargas
90'+2
Cristian Penilla
/ Christian Valladolid
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
70.59%
Alianza ←
14.04%
X
15.37%
Comerciantes
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Atletico)
70.59%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.11
—
—
1.87
—
—
Lineups
31
S. Rivadeneyra
G
S. Rivadeneyra
G
24
A. Gordillo
D
A. Gordillo
D
6
J. Luján
D
J. Luján
D
2
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
16
S. Fernández
D
S. Fernández
D
15
H. Lupú
M
H. Lupú
M
10
Germán Díaz
1 👟
M
Germán Díaz
1 👟
M
17
C. Penilla
1 ⚽
M
C. Penilla
1 ⚽
M
22
J. del Castillo
M
J. del Castillo
M
11
G. Larios
68'
M
G. Larios
68'
M
29
J. Molina
1 ⚽
85'
F
J. Molina
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
23
A. Muñoz
22'
M
A. Muñoz
22'
M
77
C. Valladolid
F
C. Valladolid
F
95
D. Prieto
G
D. Prieto
G
8
F. Flores
M
F. Flores
M
37
J. Delgado
M
J. Delgado
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
M
Jimmy Pérez
M
19
J. Mendieta
D
J. Mendieta
D
9
V. Robaldo
5'
F
V. Robaldo
5'
F
25
W. Guzmán
D
W. Guzmán
D
17
M. Córdova
G
M. Córdova
G
15
A. Cossio
D
A. Cossio
D
6
J. Rodriguez
D
J. Rodriguez
D
66
Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel
D
Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel
D
16
R. Rojas
D
R. Rojas
D
18
A. Rodríguez
33'
M
A. Rodríguez
33'
M
20
J. Parodi
86'
M
J. Parodi
86'
M
4
Alexis Martín Arias
77'
M
50
J. Olivares
1 ⚽
67'
F
J. Olivares
1 ⚽
67'
F
9
M. Sen
1 👟
F
M. Sen
1 👟
F
32
J. Sánchez
67'
F
J. Sánchez
67'
F
Bench
19
D. Lino
D
D. Lino
D
99
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
G
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
G
10
M. Carpio
M
M. Carpio
M
13
M. Pérez
F
M. Pérez
F
28
O. Pinto
23'
M
O. Pinto
23'
M
30
P. Guzmán
D
P. Guzmán
D
14
Thiago Salinas
13'
M
Thiago Salinas
13'
M
8
W. Ayoví
23'
F
W. Ayoví
23'
F
54
Y. Gamero
4'
M
Y. Gamero
4'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Molina
F · Alianza
8.13
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 8 pass
C. Penilla
M · Alianza
7.80
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 34 pass
J. Olivares
F · Comerciantes
7.76
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Germán Díaz
M · Alianza
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 63 pass
M. Sen
F · Comerciantes
7.07
1 👟
4 shots
· 20 pass
R. Suarez
D · Alianza
6.89
1 shots
· 48 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivadeneyra | G | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gordillo | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Luján | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Suarez | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Fernández | D | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Lupú | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 63 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Penilla | M | 92 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 5 | 34 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. del Castillo | M | 92 | 6.66 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Larios | M | 68 | 6.42 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Molina | F | 85 | 8.13 | 1 | — | 4 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Muñoz | M | 22 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Robaldo | F | 5 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Córdova | G | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Cossio | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel | D | 90 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Rojas | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 33 | 5.03 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Parodi | M | 86 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Martín Arias | M | 77 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Olivares | F | 67 | 7.76 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Sen | F | 90 | 7.07 | — | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Sánchez | F | 67 | 5.55 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Pinto | M | 23 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Thiago Salinas | M | 13 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Ayoví | F | 23 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Gamero | M | 4 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 2–1 Comerciantes Unidos.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 14% to a draw, and 15% to an Comerciantes Unidos win.