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Liga 1 · Clausura - 14 October 28, 2026 21:30 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Alianza Atletico
#8 · 21 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Deportivo Garcilaso
#4 · 51 pts
José María Ingratti (ast. Guillermo Larios) 10'
Guillermo Larios 15'
Juan Delgado (ast. Ariel Muñoz) 36'
63' (ast. Adrian Ascues) S. Ramírez
89' (ast. Adrian Ascues) Christopher Olivares
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 49% win probability (draw 20%, Deportivo Garcilaso 30%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 3–2 Deportivo Garcilaso. In 2 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
17
6
Shots on target
6
1.52
Actual xG
1.19
4
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
10
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽José María Ingratti · ast. Guillermo Larios
10'
13'
Facundo Castelli
⚽Guillermo Larios
15'
⚽Juan Delgado · ast. Ariel Muñoz
36'
↕ Ariel Muñoz / Jorge del Castillo
45'
45'
S. Ramírez / Beto Da Silva ↕
50'
Héctor Aldair Salazar
61'
Adrian Ascues / Facundo Castelli ↕
↕ Guillermo Larios / Cristian Penilla
61'
63'
ast. Adrian Ascues · S. Ramírez⚽
↕ Erick Perleche / Stefano Fernández
70'
↕ José María Ingratti / Jairo Molina
80'
↕ Germán Díaz / Jimmy Perez
80'
80'
L. Ríos / Claudio Torrejón ↕
89'
ast. Adrian Ascues · Christopher Olivares⚽
Pre-match prediction
49.31%
Alianza ←
20.23%
X
30.46%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Atletico) 49.31% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
2.44
1.52
-0.92
Deportivo
2.01
1.19
-0.82
Alianza Atletico dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.19). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-1-4-1
31 S. Rivadeneyra S. Rivadeneyra G 6.98
24 A. Gordillo A. Gordillo D 5.81
6 J. Luján J. Luján D 6.54
2 R. Suarez R. Suarez D 6.39
21 E. Perleche E. Perleche 70' D 6.75
10 Germán Díaz Germán Díaz 80' M 6.32
23 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 1 👟 45' M 6.81
27 J. Ingratti J. Ingratti 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.59
15 H. Lupú H. Lupú M 6.33
37 J. Delgado J. Delgado 1 ⚽ M 7.82
11 G. Larios G. Larios 1 ⚽ 1 👟 61' F 9.00
Bench
17 C. Penilla C. Penilla 29' M 6.35
95 D. Prieto D. Prieto G 0.00
22 J. del Castillo J. del Castillo 45' M 6.21
20 Jimmy Pérez Jimmy Pérez 10' M 6.25
19 J. Mendieta J. Mendieta D 0.00
29 J. Molina J. Molina 10' F 6.56
16 S. Fernández S. Fernández 20' M 6.03
9 V. Robaldo V. Robaldo F 0.00
25 W. Guzmán W. Guzmán D 0.00
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1-4-1
1 P. Zubczuk P. Zubczuk G 5.54
20 A. Rosell A. Rosell D 5.23
19 A. Gómez A. Gómez D 5.46
2 A. Salazar A. Salazar D 5.11
35 J. Mendoza J. Mendoza D 6.22
14 C. Torrejón C. Torrejón 80' M 6.04
30 L. da Silva L. da Silva 45' M 5.87
8 A. González A. González M 6.65
18 C. Ramos C. Ramos M 6.23
24 C. Olivares C. Olivares 1 ⚽ M 6.87
9 F. Castelli F. Castelli 61' F 5.77
Bench
27 A. Ascues A. Ascues 2 👟 29' M 7.23
6 C. M. Flores C. M. Flores M 0.00
31 J. Barbieri J. Barbieri G 0.00
22 J. Portales J. Portales D 0.00
7 L. Ríos L. Ríos 10' F 6.59
17 S. Ramírez S. Ramírez 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.45
33 S. Villacorta S. Villacorta D 0.00
Best on the pitch
G. Larios
G. Larios
F · Alianza
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 9 pass
J. Delgado
J. Delgado
M · Alianza
7.82
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
J. Ingratti
J. Ingratti
M · Alianza
7.59
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
S. Ramírez
S. Ramírez
F · Deportivo
7.45
1 ⚽
4 shots · 8 pass
A. Ascues
A. Ascues
M · Deportivo
7.23
2 👟
1 shots · 14 pass
S. Rivadeneyra
S. Rivadeneyra
G · Alianza
6.98
· 22 pass
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Rivadeneyra G 90 6.98 — — 0 22 13% 0 — —
A. Gordillo D 90 5.81 — — 0 29 17% 1 — —
J. Luján D 90 6.54 — — 0 25 21% 2 — —
R. Suarez D 90 6.39 — — 1 40 31% 1 — —
E. Perleche D 70 6.75 — — 0 28 25% 1 — —
Germán Díaz M 80 6.32 — — 0 50 37% 0 — —
A. Muñoz M 45 6.81 — 1 0 13 11% 1 — —
J. Ingratti M 80 7.59 1 — 4 10 6% 0 — —
H. Lupú M 90 6.33 — — 0 27 19% 1 — —
J. Delgado M 90 7.82 1 — 2 37 32% 0 — —
G. Larios F 61 9.00 1 1 5 9 9% 1 — —
C. Penilla M 29 6.35 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
J. del Castillo M 45 6.21 — — 3 15 8% 0 — —
Jimmy Pérez M 10 6.25 — — 0 9 9% 1 — —
J. Molina F 10 6.56 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
S. Fernández M 20 6.03 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Zubczuk G 90 5.54 — — 0 23 7% 0 — —
A. Rosell D 90 5.23 — — 0 25 14% 1 — —
A. Gómez D 90 5.46 — — 0 37 23% 0 — —
A. Salazar D 90 5.11 — — 0 30 19% 1 1 —
J. Mendoza D 90 6.22 — — 0 16 11% 2 — —
C. Torrejón M 80 6.04 — — 0 21 17% 2 — —
L. da Silva M 45 5.87 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
A. González M 90 6.65 — — 4 46 37% 5 — —
C. Ramos M 90 6.23 — — 3 33 26% 0 — —
C. Olivares M 90 6.87 1 — 3 20 12% 0 — —
F. Castelli F 61 5.77 — — 1 11 8% 0 1 —
A. Ascues M 29 7.23 — 2 1 14 12% 1 — —
L. Ríos F 10 6.59 — — 0 4 3% 2 — —
S. Ramírez F 45 7.45 1 — 4 8 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 3–2 Deportivo Garcilaso.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 20% to a draw, and 30% to an Deportivo Garcilaso win.