✗Model wrong — prediction Alianza Atletico, result Draw
H. Lupu
(ast. A. Munoz)
12'
22'
(ast. R. Lagos)
B. Palacios
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 66% win probability (draw 18%, FC Cajamarca 14%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 1–1 FC Cajamarca.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
0
14
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽H. Lupu
· ast. A. Munoz
12'
22'
ast. R. Lagos ·
B. Palacios⚽
A. Munoz
/ J. Perez
32'
33'
M. Arrasco
A. Gordillo
45'+2
48'
54'
J. Betancourt
/
C. Meza
C. Penilla
/ F. Coronel
61'
J. del Castillo
/ C. Valladolid
61'
65'
B. Palacios
75'
A. Moyano
/
B. Palacios
75'
F. Ocas
/
M. Arrasco
H. Lupu
/ J. Delgado
82'
90'
S. Pineau
/
S. Enciso
Pre-match prediction
66.65%
Alianza
18.8%
X ←
14.55%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
—
—
0.68
—
—
Lineups
95
Daniel Prieto
G
Daniel Prieto
G
24
A. Gordillo
D
A. Gordillo
D
6
José Luján
D
José Luján
D
4
J. Villegas
D
J. Villegas
D
21
E. Perleche
D
E. Perleche
D
10
Germán Díaz
M
Germán Díaz
M
15
Hernan Lupú
1 ⚽
82'
M
Hernan Lupú
1 ⚽
82'
M
17
Cristian Penilla
60'
M
Cristian Penilla
60'
M
22
Jorge del Castillo
61'
M
Jorge del Castillo
61'
M
23
Ariel Muñoz
1 👟
32'
M
Ariel Muñoz
1 👟
32'
M
9
Valentín Robaldo
F
Valentín Robaldo
F
Bench
77
Christian Valladolid
29'
F
Christian Valladolid
29'
F
1
Eder Hermoza
G
Eder Hermoza
G
7
Franco Coronel
30'
F
Franco Coronel
30'
F
20
Jimmy Pérez
58'
M
Jimmy Pérez
58'
M
37
Juan Delgado
8'
M
Juan Delgado
8'
M
99
Mariano Barreda
F
Mariano Barreda
F
2
Román Suárez
D
Román Suárez
D
16
Stefano Fernández
M
Stefano Fernández
M
25
Williams Guzmán
D
Williams Guzmán
D
12
Samuel Aspajo
G
Samuel Aspajo
G
13
R. Lagos
1 👟
D
R. Lagos
1 👟
D
6
Pablo Míguez
D
Pablo Míguez
D
14
Alexis Rodas
D
Alexis Rodas
D
44
Carlos Gómez
D
Carlos Gómez
D
20
Carlos Meza
54'
M
Carlos Meza
54'
M
11
Mauricio Arrasco
75'
M
Mauricio Arrasco
75'
M
18
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
M
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
M
31
Sebastián Enciso
89'
M
Sebastián Enciso
89'
M
9
H. Barcos
F
H. Barcos
F
17
B. Palacios
1 ⚽
75'
F
B. Palacios
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
8
Axel Moyano
15'
M
Axel Moyano
15'
M
1
Carlos Mosquera
G
Carlos Mosquera
G
25
Emmanuel Páucar
M
Emmanuel Páucar
M
29
Fernando Ocas
15'
F
Fernando Ocas
15'
F
26
Hairo Timaná
D
Hairo Timaná
D
30
Jhan Vega
D
Jhan Vega
D
27
Jonathan Betancourt
36'
M
Jonathan Betancourt
36'
M
7
Sebastien Pineau
1'
F
Sebastien Pineau
1'
F
Best on the pitch
B. Palacios
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Samuel Aspajo
G · FC
8.20
· 33 pass
Hernan Lupú
M · Alianza
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Germán Díaz
M · Alianza
7.90
1 shots
· 79 pass
Jimmy Pérez
M · Alianza
7.70
1 shots
· 36 pass
Fernando Ocas
F · FC
7.20
· 6 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Prieto | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Gordillo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| José Luján | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Perleche | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Hernan Lupú | M | 82 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Penilla | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jorge del Castillo | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ariel Muñoz | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Robaldo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 7 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Christian Valladolid | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 58 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Delgado | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
FC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Aspajo | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Lagos | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Míguez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexis Rodas | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Gómez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| Carlos Meza | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio Arrasco | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Enciso | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barcos | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Palacios | F | 75 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Axel Moyano | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Ocas | F | 15 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Betancourt | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastien Pineau | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 1–1 FC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Cajamarca win.