✗Model wrong — prediction Alianza Atletico, result Draw
H. Lupu
(ast. A. Munoz)
12'
22'
(ast. R. Lagos)
B. Palacios
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 66% win probability (draw 18%, FC Cajamarca 14%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 1–1 FC Cajamarca.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
0
14
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽H. Lupu
· ast. A. Munoz
12'
22'
ast. R. Lagos ·
B. Palacios⚽
A. Munoz
/ J. Perez
32'
33'
M. Arrasco
A. Gordillo
45'+2
48'
54'
J. Betancourt
/
C. Meza
C. Penilla
/ F. Coronel
61'
J. del Castillo
/ C. Valladolid
61'
65'
B. Palacios
75'
A. Moyano
/
B. Palacios
75'
F. Ocas
/
M. Arrasco
H. Lupu
/ J. Delgado
82'
90'
S. Pineau
/
S. Enciso
Pre-match prediction
66.65%
Alianza
18.8%
X ←
14.55%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
—
—
0.68
—
—
Lineups
95
D. Prieto
G
D. Prieto
G
24
A. Gordillo
D
A. Gordillo
D
6
J. Luján
D
J. Luján
D
4
J. Villegas
D
J. Villegas
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
10
Germán Díaz
M
Germán Díaz
M
15
H. Lupú
1 ⚽
82'
M
H. Lupú
1 ⚽
82'
M
17
C. Penilla
60'
M
C. Penilla
60'
M
22
J. del Castillo
61'
M
J. del Castillo
61'
M
23
A. Muñoz
1 👟
32'
M
A. Muñoz
1 👟
32'
M
9
V. Robaldo
F
V. Robaldo
F
Bench
77
C. Valladolid
29'
F
C. Valladolid
29'
F
1
Eder Hermoza
G
Eder Hermoza
G
7
Franco Coronel
30'
F
Franco Coronel
30'
F
37
J. Delgado
8'
M
J. Delgado
8'
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
58'
M
Jimmy Pérez
58'
M
99
Mariano Barreda
F
Mariano Barreda
F
2
R. Suarez
D
R. Suarez
D
16
S. Fernández
M
S. Fernández
M
25
W. Guzmán
D
W. Guzmán
D
12
S. Aspajo Cohen
G
S. Aspajo Cohen
G
13
R. Lagos
1 👟
D
R. Lagos
1 👟
D
6
P. Míguez
D
P. Míguez
D
14
A. Rodas
D
44
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
D
Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
D
20
C. Meza
54'
M
C. Meza
54'
M
11
M. Arrasco
75'
M
M. Arrasco
75'
M
18
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
M
Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
M
31
S. Enciso
89'
M
S. Enciso
89'
M
9
H. Barcos
F
H. Barcos
F
17
B. Palacios
1 ⚽
75'
F
B. Palacios
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
8
Axel Moyano
15'
M
Axel Moyano
15'
M
1
Carlos Mosquera
G
Carlos Mosquera
G
25
Emmanuel Páucar
M
Emmanuel Páucar
M
29
Fernando Ocas
15'
F
Fernando Ocas
15'
F
26
Hairo Timaná
D
Hairo Timaná
D
30
Jhan Vega
D
Jhan Vega
D
27
Jonathan Betancourt
36'
M
Jonathan Betancourt
36'
M
7
S. Pineau
1'
F
S. Pineau
1'
F
Best on the pitch
B. Palacios
F · FC
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
S. Aspajo Cohen
G · FC
8.20
· 33 pass
H. Lupú
M · Alianza
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Germán Díaz
M · Alianza
7.90
1 shots
· 79 pass
Jimmy Pérez
M · Alianza
7.70
1 shots
· 36 pass
Fernando Ocas
F · FC
7.20
· 6 pass
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Prieto | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Gordillo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Luján | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Villegas | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Germán Díaz | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Lupú | M | 82 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 4 | 1 | — |
| C. Penilla | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. del Castillo | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Muñoz | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| V. Robaldo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 7 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Valladolid | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Coronel | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Delgado | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 58 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
FC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Aspajo Cohen | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Lagos | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Míguez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rodas | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| C. Meza | M | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Arrasco | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| S. Enciso | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barcos | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Palacios | F | 75 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Axel Moyano | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Ocas | F | 15 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Betancourt | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pineau | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 1–1 FC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Cajamarca win.