Alianza Atletico - Juan Pablo II College
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
27.4°C
💨 9 km/h
· Sullana
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.71%
Win
Alianza Atletico
20.16%
Draw
28.13%
Win
Juan Pablo II College
2.19
1.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.65%)
1X2 Result
✓ 69.8% hit rate (53 picks)
1
52%
X
20%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
48%
12
80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
62%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alianza Atletico a 51% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Juan Pablo II College. Expected goals are 2.2 for Alianza Atletico and 1.6 for Juan Pablo II College (total 3.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.65% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Juan Pablo II College.
Season Stats
8W
1D
6L
7W
4D
4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.7
2.1
Conceded
1.3
4.8
Shots OT
4.8
4.2
Corners
4.3
48%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
93%
87%
O 2.5
47%
93%
BTTS
47%
7%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
7W
1D
2L
· at home
2W
3D
5L
· away
2.1
gls/g
1.2
1.4
Conceded
2.1
70%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
100%
70%
O 2.5
60%
60%
O 3.5
30%
80%
BTTS
70%
10%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Alianza Atletico
Attack
51
Defence
50
Form
57
Juan Pablo II College
Attack
48
Defence
60
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
|
17 | 40 |
| 2 |
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
|
17 | 34 |
| 3 |
Cienciano
|
17 | 33 |
| 4 |
Universitario
|
17 | 29 |
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
|
17 | 28 |
| 6 |
Cusco
|
17 | 27 |
| 7 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
|
17 | 26 |
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
|
17 | 21 |
| 9 |
Comerciantes Unidos
|
17 | 21 |
| 10 |
ADT
|
17 | 20 |
| 11 |
Sport Boys
|
17 | 20 |
| 12 |
Sporting Cristal
|
17 | 19 |
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
|
17 | 18 |
| 14 |
UCV Moquegua
|
17 | 18 |
| 15 |
FC Cajamarca
|
17 | 17 |
| 16 |
Atletico Grau
|
17 | 16 |
| 17 |
Sport Huancayo
|
17 | 16 |
| 18 |
Juan Pablo II College
|
17 | 16 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #8 | #1 |
| → Alianza Atletico | #8 | #18 |
| → Draw | #8 | #16 |
| → Juan Pablo II College | #8 | #13 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
The model gives Alianza Atletico a 51% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 28% for an Juan Pablo II College win.
How many goals are expected in Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
Expected goals: Alianza Atletico 2.2, Juan Pablo II College 1.6 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.65%.